Public Information Statement
Issued by NWS

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NOUS42 KTAE 050400
PNSTAE

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1100 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

To: Emergency management officials, news media, and other users.

Effective Tuesday, March 8, 2016 the National Weather Service in
Tallahassee will modify the flood stage levels for the Muckalee
Creek near Leesburg, GA (MCKG1) to better reflect impacts from
flooding along this portion of the creek.

These new flood levels are:

Action Stage                    11 feet (unchanged)
Minor Flood Stage               13 feet (down 2 feet)
Moderate Flood Stage            15 feet (down 2.8 feet)
Major Flood Stage               17 feet (down 4 feet)

This location is a flood only forecast point, which means forecasts
and warnings are issued when the river is expected to rise near or
above flood stage.

These updated flood stages were a direct result of analysis of
several recent flood events by the National Weather Service in
Tallahassee and the Lee County Emergency Management Agency.

A set of statements have been developed that communicate impacts
along the Muckalee Creek at specific stage readings. These are:

At 13 feet  Substantial lowland flooding will occur along the
creek. Water will flood one residence on North Hampton Road.

At 14 feet  Water will cross North Hampton Road in the 700 block.
Additional inundation occurs along the creek further downstream.

At 15 feet  Several homes in subdivisions along the creek in the
vicinity of Forrester Parkway and further south to the Dougherty
County line will begin to flood.

At 17 feet  Water will approach the bottom of the highway 195
bridge. Significant flooding occurs along the creek from east of
Leesburg to the Dougherty County line affecting numerous
subdivisions.

At 21 feet  Water will reach the road surface of highway 195.

At 29 feet  This is the record flood level from Tropical Storm
Alberto in 1994. Catastrophic flooding will occur throughout the
basin.

The data for this forecast point is provided through our partner,
the US Geological Survey. Without this critical data, forecasts and
warnings would not be possible at this location. You can learn more
about this and other stream gages in Georgia by visiting:

http://ga.water.usgs.gov

To get the latest information on this and other river forecast
points in the Tallahassee area of responsibility, please visit our
website at:

http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=tae

For further information regarding this change or to provide
comment before the new flood stages are effective, please contact:

Kelly G Godsey                Jane A Hollingsworth
Hydrology Program Leader      Meteorologist in Charge
NWS Tallahassee Florida       NWS Tallahassee Florida
Love Building                 Love Building
Florida State University      Florida State University
Tallahassee, Florida 32306    Tallahassee, Florida 32306
850-942-8833                  850-942-8833
Kelly.Godsey@noaa.gov         Jane.Hollingsworth@noaa.gov


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