Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS61 KPBZ 291937
AFDPBZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
337 PM EDT WED JUN 29 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Warmer weather will return for Thursday, with the next chance of
showers and storms coming on Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
ALthough clouds will continue into the late afternoon, clouds
should all but disappear by sunset. Overnight temperatures should
be a little cooler than last night with clear skies and nearly
calm winds, with some locations dropping into the 40s. Drier air
will continue to move into the region, and this should allow for
sunnier skies than occurred today. High temperatures should return
closer to normal, around 80 degrees in most locations.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Although skies will be mostly clear Thursday night, a front will
bring a chance of showers everywhere Friday. Have increased pops
everywhere with a slightly earlier arrival timing allowing for
more convective heating, although low-level moisture could be a
limiting factor for rain. A lingering shower may persist into
Friday evening, but have gone with a dry forecast after midnight
and into Saturday. The front will not bring much of a change to
the seasonal temperatures.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Dry and seasonal through Sunday. Main change to the extended was
to increase and shift farther northward shower and thunderstorm
chances Monday as models are consistent in bringing a shortwave
from the Missouri Valley east toward the region Monday. System
will exit by Tuesday with increasing warmth and humidity into the
middle of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Vfr with patchy MVFR strato-cu continues across most ports as
cooler temperatures aloft have allowed widespread formation with
daytime surface heating. Clouds will quickly dissipate toward
sunset. North to northwest winds under 10kts will become light
overnight. Forecast soundings and most model MOS show IFR fog to
develop at most ports before sunrise until just after 12Z
Thursday. Have included this in terminals with the exception of
KPIT for now, as it does not always have the radiational cooling
to reach IFR. Fog will quickly lift after 12Z with VFR through the
day Thursday.

.OUTLOOK /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Scattered restrictions are possible with a Friday cold front, and
again on Monday as low pressure approaches.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
OH...None.
PA...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$


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