Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 031139 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 639 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016 .SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY) ISSUED AT 245 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016 TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE THE MAIN CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM. VARIOUS SHORT WAVES MOVE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH THE MEAN TROUGH SETTING UP OVER THE EASTERN CONUS ON WEDNESDAY. RIDGE AXIS IN THE WEST MEANWHILE BEGINS TO EXPAND INTO THE PLAINS REGION DURING THIS TIME. TREND TOWARD DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE PERIOD GIVING THE AREA A CHANCE TO DRY OUT BEFORE THE NEXT ROUND OF RAIN ARRIVES FOR MOTHERS DAY WEEKEND. .LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY) ISSUED AT 245 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016 UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST ACROSS THE PLAINS REGION THROUGH FRIDAY WITH WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUING BEFORE GETTING SQUEEZED AND FLATTENED BY SOUTHWEST CLOSED LOW AND ANOTHER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. FRIDAY LOOKS TO BE QUITE WARM AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE GREAT LAKES TROUGH. THIS WILL ALSO SET UP THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER EXTENDED PERIOD OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. MODELS MOVE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO ALONG THE KANSAS NEBRASKA BORDER ON SATURDAY THEN STALL IT IN THAT VICINITY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. THE SOUTHWEST SYSTEM EJECTS A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES INTO THE REGION DURING THIS TIME BEFORE LIFTING OUT EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR A CONTINUED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. && .AVIATION...(12Z TAFS FOR KOMA...KLNK...KOFK THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY) ISSUED AT 631 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016 11Z SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND IR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE SOME MID AND HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH A VORTICITY MAXIMUM TRANSLATING FROM NE INTO KS. WHILE PATCHY FOG IS BEING OBSERVED OVER PARTS OF E-CNTRL NE INTO SWRN IA THIS MORNING...WE DO NOT ANTICIPATE VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS AT ANY OF THE TAF SITES. LIGHT WLY SURFACE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY VEER TO NWLY TONIGHT WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. OTHERWISE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...FOBERT LONG TERM...FOBERT AVIATION...MEAD

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