Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Remove Highlighting --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS63 KOAX 192000 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 300 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014 .SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY) ISSUED AT 148 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014 COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE THE REGION TONIGHT BRINGING PRECIP CHANCES WITH IT. FRONT THEN MOVES SOUTH OF THE REGION THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY WITH PRECIP ALONG/SOUTH OF I80 MOVING OUT BY SATURDAY EVENING. BEST CHANCES FOR LIKELY PRECIP APPEAR TO BE TONIGHT ALONG/NORTH OF I80. PRECIP AMOUNTS DON`T LOOK THAT IMPRESSIVE WITH AMOUNTS GENERALLY LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH. A SECONDARY REINFORCING COOL FRONT ARRIVE SATURDAY NIGHT BUT REALLY NO MOISTURE WITH IT...BUT JUST A RETURN TO COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPS FOR SUNDAY/MONDAY WITH NORTHERLY FLOW...BUT RETURN TO SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM MONDAY AFTERNOON. .LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY) ISSUED AT 148 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014 MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT SHOWING THE LOW THAT`S CURRENTLY ACROSS THE WEST COAST NOW WILL EVENTUALLY CROSS THE ROCKIES. AFOREMENTIONED RETURN SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL TAP INTO FAIRLY MOIST AREA ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN PLAINS AND ADVECT THAT NORTHWARD. PRECIP CHANCE INCREASE ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA MONDAY NIGHT...THEN ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS THIS UPPER SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. BULK OF MOISTURE PUSHES EAST BY THURSDAY...BUT ISOLATED SHOWERS COULD REMAIN...AND BY THEN MODEL SOLUTIONS BEGIN TO DIVERGE ENOUGH TO HAVE OVERALL LOW CONFIDENCE BY NEXT FRIDAY TO GO DRY UNTIL BETTER CONTINUITY DEVELOPS. && .AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 1230 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014 A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS AND SURFACE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20KTS SUSTAINED AND GUSTS 25 TO 30KTS. ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA MAY BE NEAR KOFK BY 02-04Z...AND INCLUDED A PROB30 FOR TSRA AT THE TAF SITES FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS WITH THE FRONT. THE FRONT DOES SLOW DOWN...HOWEVER THE FORCING WEAKENS...SO DO NOT HAVE A MENTION AFTER 11Z AT KLNK/KOMA. COVERAGE AND TIMING WILL LIKELY NEED ADJUSTING DEPENDING ON HOW IT EVOLVES. THE SURFACE WINDS LIGHTEN AS THE WIND SHIFT APPROACHES THEN EVENTUALLY TURNS TO THE NW 6-12KTS. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...DEWALD LONG TERM...DEWALD AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.