Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 230800 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 300 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014 .SHORT TERM...
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(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 213 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014 INITIAL CONCERN WILL BE WITH DEVELOPMENT OF FOG ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING. DENSE FOG ADVISORY ISSUED EARLIER MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED SOUTH AND EAST AS LOW CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THE AREA THROUGH 12Z. OTHERWISE...PERIOD LOOKS TO BE DRY AND QUITE MILD AS UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE NATION IN ADVANCE OF ANOTHER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. DAYTIME HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL INTO THE WEEKEND. .LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY) ISSUED AT 213 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014 PATTERN BEGINS TO TURN COOLER BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A STRONGER COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. SOME CHANCE OF RAIN WITH THE FRONT MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY INTO TUESDAY DEPENDING ON TIMING OF MODELS. EURO AND GFS ACTUALLY LOOK TO BE IN BETTER AGREEMENT THAN PREVIOUS RUN FOR MON-TUE...BUT DIVERGE AGAIN AFTER THAT WITH GFS MAINTAINING TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS WHILE EURO BECOMES ZONAL.
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&& .AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 1134 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014 AREA OF RAIN CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST OF THE TAF SITES THIS MORNING. AS VFR TO MVFR CEILINGS SLIDE EAST...AN EXPANDING AREA OF FOG WILL SPREAD EAST AS WELL. WILL BE DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE EXACTLY HOW LOW TO GO IN REGARDS TO CIGS/VISIBILITIES AT OUR TAF SITES...HOWEVER LIGHT WIND AND AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AFTER EVENING RAIN WILL WARRANT SOME MENTION. WILL LEAVE TO AMENDMENTS IF CONDITIONS DROP BELOW IFR OR BECOME LIFR. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR NEZ011-012- 016>018-030>032-042. IA...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...FOBERT LONG TERM...FOBERT AVIATION...KERN

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