Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 231722 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 1222 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014 .UPDATE...
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ISSUED AT 1220 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014 NOW THAT THE FOG HAS BURNED OFF...TEMPERATURES REMAIN THE PRIMARY FORECAST CHALLENGE. DROPPED TEMPS ONE CATEGORY ALONG I80 WHERE CLOUDS HELD AND MAY KEEP THAT AREA FROM REACHING THE LOWER 70S. AREAS NORTH AND SOUTH STILL LOOK ON TRACK. UPDATE ISSUED AT 710 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014 EXPANDED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY A BIT ON THE EASTERN EDGE AND EXTENDED IT AN HOUR LONGER...UNTIL 10 AM. OTHER MINOR CHANGES TO SKY COVER FOR THIS MORNING.
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&& .SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 213 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014 INITIAL CONCERN WILL BE WITH DEVELOPMENT OF FOG ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING. DENSE FOG ADVISORY ISSUED EARLIER MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED SOUTH AND EAST AS LOW CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THE AREA THROUGH 12Z. OTHERWISE...PERIOD LOOKS TO BE DRY AND QUITE MILD AS UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE NATION IN ADVANCE OF ANOTHER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. DAYTIME HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL INTO THE WEEKEND. .LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY) ISSUED AT 213 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014 PATTERN BEGINS TO TURN COOLER BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A STRONGER COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. SOME CHANCE OF RAIN WITH THE FRONT MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY INTO TUESDAY DEPENDING ON TIMING OF MODELS. EURO AND GFS ACTUALLY LOOK TO BE IN BETTER AGREEMENT THAN PREVIOUS RUN FOR MON-TUE...BUT DIVERGE AGAIN AFTER THAT WITH GFS MAINTAINING TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS WHILE EURO BECOMES ZONAL. && .AVIATION...
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(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 1220 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014 MVFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AT KLNK BUT SHOULD BECOME VFR BY 19Z. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS AT KOMA/KLNK. AM THINKING THAT THERE IS SOME FOG POTENTIAL LATER TONIGHT...BUT THAT COULD ALSO BE TEMPERED BY SLIGHTLY STRONGER BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING...BUT COULD SEE TEMPORARY MVFR AND POSSIBLY IFR AT ALL THREE SITES FROM 07-14Z.
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&& .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
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NE...NONE. IA...NONE.
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&& $$ UPDATE...DEWALD SHORT TERM...FOBERT LONG TERM...FOBERT AVIATION...DEWALD

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