Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 181926 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 226 PM CDT Wed Oct 18 2017 .SHORT TERM...
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(Tonight through Saturday) Issued at 209 PM CDT Wed Oct 18 2017 Dry and above normal weather continues through Friday, then rain chance move into the area Friday night and Saturday. A cool was moving into northeast NE early this afternoon and settles southward to the NE/KS line by daybreak Thursday, before quickly lifting back north of the region by Thursday afternoon. This will briefly bring cooler temps to the area tonight, with lows back into the upper 30s in favored cool spots, to mid 40s along the ridges in the MO river valley. High temps Thursday easily get back into the mid to upper 70s, well above normal, with southerly winds developing again. This trend continues into Friday as a weak short wave moves out of the mean trough to our west. Wind speeds Friday easily get into the windy 20-30 mph category, and could even see gusts into the lower 40s across parts of eastern NE by late morning into the afternoon. The Nam does try to generate a few sprinkles on Friday, but other models remain dry, thus will just indicate an increase in cloud cover for now. We will see a chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms Friday night, and especially on Saturday as a cold front moves into and through the region. Rainfall amounts Friday night perhaps a tenth of an inch or less, and amounts Saturday up to one quarter inch. .LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Wednesday) Issued at 209 PM CDT Wed Oct 18 2017 Precip chances sweep out of the area pretty quickly Saturday evening, and our blended forecast may even be holding on to precip too long. All precip should be well east of the area by Sunday morning, finally bringing temps closer to seasonable readings. Temps try to recover on Monday, but another fast-moving system coming out of the northern Rockies brings another front and a small chance of showers to the area Monday night. Sharply cooler temps are then forecast next Tuesday into Wednesday with highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s, although the EC would suggest a little warmer values closer to normal.
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&& .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon) Issued at 1252 PM CDT Wed Oct 18 2017 VFR conditions today at all sites with period of high cloudiness. A cold front moving through will bring veering winds...southwest winds shifting around to the north. The winds will be variable through 00Z mainly 8 to 15kts. The stronger winds will be from the northwest at KOFK with some gusts over 20kts. After 00Z...the variable winds becoming north at all sites will settle down to under 10kts. After 12Z...the winds will be light from the southeast. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. IA...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...DeWald LONG TERM...DeWald AVIATION...Zapotocny is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.