Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS63 KOAX 291112 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 612 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014 .SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY) ISSUED AT 210 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014 WV IMAGERY THIS MORNING REVEALING AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE SITUATED OVER THE WRN CONUS WITH A DOWNSTREAM TROF OVER THE ERN CONUS. THIS PATTERN HAS BE STAGNANT THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS AND WILL REMAIN SO HEADING INTO THIS WEEKEND. ONLY ACTIVE WEATHER OF CONCERN WILL OCCUR THIS MORNING JUST WEST OF THE CWA. RAP13/HIRES ARW/HIRES NMM ALL ADVERTISE PCPN DEVELOPMENT WITHIN AXIS OF 850-700MB QG FORCING/STRONG MID LYR AGEOSTROPHIC LIFT EXTENDING FM THE NEB PANH TO CNTRL KS. ACTIVITY SHOULD DEVELOP WITHIN AREA OF LOW COND PRES DEF WHERE 310K ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE WILL BE FOCUSED. AGAIN THOUGH...BEST FORCING IS PROGGED TO REMAIN JUST W/SW OF THE CWA THIS MORNING. WILL WATCH RADAR TRENDS THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS THEN DETERMINE IF POPS WILL BE NECESSARY. OTHERWISE REST OF THE FCST PD WILL QUITE PLEASANT FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. .LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY) ISSUED AT 210 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014 MODELS AGREE LARGE SCALE FLOW WILL FOR THE MOST PART REMAIN STAGNANT WITH A RIDGE WEST AND TROF EAST. GIVEN THIS SEE LITTLE REASON FOR ANY MAJOR CHANGES TO GOING FCST. PCPN CHANCES SUN NIGHT THRU TUES REVOLVING AROUND A FRONTAL BNDRY DROPPING INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS. GFS IS A BIT FASTER THAN THE ECM DROPPING THE BNDRY SOUTH. NEVERTHELESS...SMALL POPS STILL REASONABLE FOR NOW. OTHERWISE STAGNANT PATTERN WILL HELP MAINTAIN AFTN HIGHS IN THE LOW/MID 80S THRU THE EXTENDED PDS. && .AVIATION...(12Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 607 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014 VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. A SCT-BKN SC DECK IS EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY BUT CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN DRY AT ALL 3 TAF SITES. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING BECOME LIGHT NORTH/NORTHWEST THROUGH THE DAY BEFORE DIMINISHING AGAIN THIS EVENING AS THE SC DISSIPATE. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...DEE LONG TERM...DEE AVIATION...

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.