Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 020752 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 252 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2015 .SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY) ISSUED AT 245 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2015 LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTEND FROM CENTRAL IOWA INTO SOUTHEAST CORNER OF NEBRASKA AT 07Z. DEVELOPMENT WAS SLOWER THAN EXPECTED BY YESTERDAYS MODELS BUT FAIRLY CLOSE WITH CURRENT TIMING. EXPECT MOST OF THE STORMS TO BE OUT OF THE AREA BY 12Z WITH HOT DAYTIME TEMPERATURES THE MAIN FEATURE THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD. UPPER RIDGE AMPLIFIES RAPIDLY AFTER TODAY AS WEST COAST TROUGH DEEPENS WITH AREA EXPECTED TO BE MORE UNDER INFLUENCE OF RIDGE DURING THE PERIOD. STRONGER FLOW AND SHORT WAVE ENERGY LOOKS TO STAY WEST OF THE AREA WHERE BETTER CHANCE OF PRECIP WILL EXIST. AT THIS TIME HAVE SOME SMALL POPS FOR PARTS OF NW CWA WHICH MAY GET BRUSHED AT TIMES BUT MOST AREAS EXPECTED TO STAY DRY THROUGH FRIDAY. .LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY) ISSUED AT 245 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2015 UPPER PATTERN TRANSITIONS IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH STRONG FLOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN CONUS FLATTENING RIDGE AND PUSHING IT SOUTH. THIS RESULTS IN BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES ALSO COOL DURING THE PERIOD. && .AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 1151 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2015 VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AT KOMA...KLNK...AND KOFK. DUE TO A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET DURING THE NIGHT...LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR AT 2000 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED AT KOMA...KLNK...AND KOFK. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...FOBERT LONG TERM...FOBERT AVIATION...SMITH

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