Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 231121 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 621 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014 .SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 213 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014 INITIAL CONCERN WILL BE WITH DEVELOPMENT OF FOG ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING. DENSE FOG ADVISORY ISSUED EARLIER MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED SOUTH AND EAST AS LOW CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THE AREA THROUGH 12Z. OTHERWISE...PERIOD LOOKS TO BE DRY AND QUITE MILD AS UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE NATION IN ADVANCE OF ANOTHER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. DAYTIME HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL INTO THE WEEKEND. .LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY) ISSUED AT 213 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014 PATTERN BEGINS TO TURN COOLER BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A STRONGER COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. SOME CHANCE OF RAIN WITH THE FRONT MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY INTO TUESDAY DEPENDING ON TIMING OF MODELS. EURO AND GFS ACTUALLY LOOK TO BE IN BETTER AGREEMENT THAN PREVIOUS RUN FOR MON-TUE...BUT DIVERGE AGAIN AFTER THAT WITH GFS MAINTAINING TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS WHILE EURO BECOMES ZONAL. && .AVIATION...
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(12Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 620 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014 LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL LINGER FOR A WHILE THIS MORNING THEN EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS LATER THIS MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT LOW CLOUDS AND/OR FOG MAY MOVE BACK IN TONIGHT...BUT DID NOT FEEL CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO GO WITH ANYTHING AT THIS POINT. THIS WILL HAVE TO BE LOOKED AT CLOSER WITH THE 18Z TAFS.
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&& .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR NEZ011-012- 016>018-030>032-042. IA...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...FOBERT LONG TERM...FOBERT AVIATION...MILLER

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