Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS63 KOAX 262324 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 524 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015 .SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY) ISSUED AT 243 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015 DOMINATE FEATURE THIS AFTN PER SATL PIX IS WELL AMPLIFIED/STAGNANT UPSTREAM RIDGE OVER THE WRN CONUS FORMING INTO A REX BLOCKING PATTERN. MEANWHILE VERY PLEASANT CONDITIONS FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS. MODELS IN AGREEMENT NO ACTIVE WX TO CONTEND WITH THE NEXT SEVERALS DAYS ALONG WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS...HIGHS AROUND 60 WEST/LOW 50S EAST...TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A NOTICEABLE CHANGE THOUGH COMING WED NIGHT/THURS WILL BE REALIZES WHEN SFC LOW MOVING INTO THE OH/TN VLYS DRAGS A RELATIVELY WEAK COLD FRONT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. GIVEN THE WEAK NATURE OF THE CAA...MAX IN THE LOW 40S WILL STILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL. .LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY) ISSUED AT 243 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015 MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE ADVERTISING POSSIBLE PCPN EARLY NEXT WEEKEND ASSOCIATED WITH NEXT CANADIAN AIRMASS INTRUSION INTO THE LOWER 48. HOWEVER...WITH SUCH A WIDE DISCREPANCY AMONGST THE ECM/GFS/CMC WITH RESPECT TO SFC FEATURES...TIMING THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE IS PROBLEMATIC AT BEST WITH METEOGRAMS ILLUSTRATING THIS WELL. CMC PROJECTS THE BNDRY INTO THE OMAHA METRO AROUND 12Z SAT...GFS 06Z SUN...ECM 12Z SUN. GIVEN ALL THIS...AM CONTENT WITH FOLLOWING SUPERBLEND WITH THE FROPA BTWN 12Z-18Z SAT. AS FOR PCPN...THERE IS GENERAL AGREEMENT ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE WILL BE MOST PREVALENT OVER THE SRN CWA FRI NIGHT/SAT TIME FRAME. THUS WILL CONFINE SMALL POPS TO THE SOUTH. && .AVIATION...
-- Changed Discussion --
(00Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 519 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015 VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE THIS EVENING AND TURN TO THE SOUTHEAST ON TUESDAY.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...DEE LONG TERM...DEE AVIATION...KERN

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.