Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 282015 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 315 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016 .SHORT TERM...
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(tonight through Tuesday) Issued at 300 PM CDT Sat May 28 2016 Upper low over northwest Iowa at 19z with scattered showers and thunderstorms across eastern Nebraska and southwest Iowa. Precip will lift northeast with the system into early evening as it tracks toward the upper midwest with clouds also decreasing with loss of heating. Dry conditions for the area tonight into early Sunday as upper flow flattens behind the departing trough. A limited chance of additional showers returns Sunday afternoon and Sunday night as some elevated instability moves into parts of the area. Small POPs then extend into early Monday before increasing in the afternoon and overnight as a northern stream trough pushes into the northern plains region preceeded by a fairly strong cold front. Except for the NAM, models similar with the timing of the front into eastern Nebraska by Tuesday morning and far southeast by early evening with precipitation ending northwest to southeast during the day. .LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Saturday) Issued at 300 PM CDT Sat May 28 2016 Models in better agreement today in the early part of the extended period with GFS now showing a progressive trough moving across the region in line with yesterdays ECMWF solution. Trended toward dry conditions through Friday with small POPs Saturday as weak surface boundary expected in the area.
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&& .AVIATION...(18Z TAFS for KOMA...KLNK...KOFK through 18Z Sunday) Issued at 306 PM CDT Sat May 28 2016 Upper low pressure system over northeast Nebraska at 18z will continue to lift northeast. VFR conditions are expected through 29/18z, although some instability showers may produce some brief MVFR conditions this afternoon. Ceilings will improve after 29/00Z to BKN100, and then clear skies after 04Z-06Z. && .OAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NE...None. IA...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Fobert LONG TERM...Fobert AVIATION...Smith

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