Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 241124 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 524 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014 .SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY) ISSUED AT 238 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014 TEMPERATURES APPEAR TO BE THE PRIMARY FOCUS IN THE SHORT TERM. TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WAS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION AT 08Z BEHIND DEPARTING SURFACE LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION. UPPER TROUGH MEANWHILE WAS ACROSS EASTERN DAKOTAS INTO CENTRAL KANSAS. NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG AND GUSTY OVER THE AREA UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON AS BOTH SURFACE AND UPPER SYSTEMS TRACK OFF TO THE EAST. CLOUDS LOOK TO REMAIN FOR MUCH OF THE DAY ESPECIALLY IN EASTERN PARTS OF THE AREA. BETWEEN THE CLOUD COVER AND COLD ADVECTION EXPECT TEMPERATURES TODAY TO MAINTAIN A NEARLY STEADY PROFILE THROUGH THE DAY. SECOND UPPER WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT WITH VARIABLE CLOUDS EXPECTED TO BE PRIMARY RESULT. ANOTHER CLIPPER DROPS INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON TUESDAY WITH WARMER AIR PULLED NORTH INTO THE REGION IN ADVANCE OF THE SYSTEM. A PERIOD OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE FOR MAINLY EASTERN PARTS OF THE AREA AS THE LOW MOVES ACROSS TUESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES SUGGEST MAINLY IN THE FORM OF SNOW BUT SOME MIX POSSIBLE INITIALLY BEFORE COLD AIR DEEPENS BEHIND THE LOW. .LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY) ISSUED AT 238 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014 AREA BETWEEN A WESTERN RIDGE AND EASTERN TROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH THE WESTERN EDGE OF COLDER AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE EASTERN TROUGH HANGING ON ACROSS THE AREA DURING THIS TIME. TREND TOWARD WARMER TEMPERATURES BEGINS ON THURSDAY AND EXTENDS INTO SATURDAY AS UPPER FLOW BECOMES ZONAL. MODELS INDICATE ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY WITH A RETURN TO COLDER SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. AT THIS TIME LOOKS LIKE PERIOD SHOULD BE DRY. && .AVIATION...(12Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 521 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014 STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30KT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. MVFR CIGS NEAR FL025 TO FL030 SHOULD GRADUALLY MOVE OFF TO THE EAST DURING THE MORNING...WITH KLNK SEEING CLEARING SKIES BEFORE 18Z. KOFK AND KOMA WILL SEE SLOWER CLEARING...BUT CIGS WILL LIKELY LIFT TO ABOVE FL030 BETWEEN 17Z AND 20Z. AFTER 00Z...ONLY MID AND HIGH CLOUDS ARE FORECAST WITH NORTHWEST WINDS DIMINISHING TO LESS THAN 15KT. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...FOBERT LONG TERM...FOBERT AVIATION...DERGAN

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