Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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095 FXUS63 KOAX 040831 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 231 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016 .SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 230 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016 NO MAJOR ACTIVE WEATHER TO BE CONCERNED WITH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...JUST SMALL CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT FOR AREAS NORTH OF I-80 POPS IN RELATION TO SERIES OF PAC NW SHORTWAVE TROF CROSSING THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS. SLIGHT POPS SEEMS TO BE THE BEST FIT GIVEN SPARSE MOISTURE AS WELL WE RELATIVELY WEAK UPGLIDE. .LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY) ISSUED AT 230 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016 GOOD CONSENSUS AMONGST THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS LARGE SCALE FLOW BECOME STAGNANT WITH SIGNIFICANT AMPLIFICATION WITH A DEEP TROF OVER THE ERN CONUS AND SHARP RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST. FORTUNATELY BULK OF THE ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL FILTER IN THE LOWER 48 WELL EAST OF THE CWA. APPEARS THAT TUESDAY WILL BE THE ONLY DAY AT RISK FOR SEEING WELL BELOW NORMAL MAX TEMPS WITH HIGHS STRUGGLING TO REACH THE LOW/MID 20S. && .AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 1136 PM CST WED FEB 3 2016 A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PRODUCE SOME VFR CIGS WITH MID AND HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING...THEN THE SUNSHINE RETURNS. THE RAP/NAM HINT AT SOME MVFR CONDITIONS WITH THE WEAK COLD FRONT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT SOUTHWEST AND THEN NORTHWEST...GENERALLY 10KTS OR LESS WITH THESE FRONTAL PASSAGES. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...DEE LONG TERM...DEE AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY

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