Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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995 FXUS63 KOAX 061723 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 1123 AM CST Tue Dec 6 2016 .SHORT TERM...(today through Thursday) Issued at 317 AM CST Tue Dec 6 2016 Early morning water vapor imagery shows potent closed low rotating northeast over eastern North Dakota with trailing trough extending into western Nebraska. This system has allowed a strong cold front to drop southeast across the region followed by gusty northwest winds. A secondary shortwave trough moving across the Pacific Northwest will continue to dig southeast across the Rockies and into the central High Plains late today into Wednesday. Model trends continue to take this system to our south which provides only small pops for our southern counties. Snowfall amounts along the Kansas/Nebraska border should be under an inch, if much at all. A stronger Arctic surge will follow this trough into the end of the week as a 1040mb surface high builds south from the Northern Plains. Friday morning looks to be our coldest under the sfc ridge axis with lows in the single digits. .LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Monday) Issued at 317 AM CST Tue Dec 6 2016 Strong return flow will set up Friday bringing strong warm air advection into the region ahead of the next approaching upper shortwave trough. Model agreement remains poor regarding strength of this upper trough with the GFS being the strongest. Model blends continue to come to a middle of the road solution and place small pops in the forecast Saturday night. Temperatures through the weekend and into early next week will remain closer to normal with hints of another arctic surge approaching by mid week. && .AVIATION...
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(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon) Issued at 1121 AM CST Tue Dec 6 2016 VFR conditions are expected through the period. Gusty northwest winds are expected through the afternoon today with clear skies. The gusts will tend to diminish toward evening, but may tend to linger into the night at KOFK. Overnight and into the day on Wednesday we will see an increase in mid and high level clouds at all 3 sites, but not preciptiation is expected.
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&& .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. IA...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Kern LONG TERM...Kern AVIATION...

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