Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 140502 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 1202 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2014 .SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY) ISSUED AT 259 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2014 EARLY AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSIS INDCD SFC HI PRESSURE BUILDING EWD AND RETURN FLOW GETTING GOING OVER THE CWA. THIS...ALONG WITH A FEW PERIODS OF CLOUDS...WILL ALLOW FOR A WARMER NIGHT FOR THE CWA. THE RETURN FLOW WILL CONT TO STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE DAY ON SUN AND SHOULD LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS THRU THE DAY. THE CURRENT FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL DROP SOUTH INTO NE NEB ON SUN BUT MOST OF THE DAY SHOULD BE DRY WITH MOISTURE JUST RETURNING TO THE AREA. BY SUN EVENING AS A SHRTWV TROUGH MOVES MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT SHOULD INCREASE AND THIS...ALONG WITH THE DECENT ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE SHOULD LEAD TO INCREASING CHANCE FOR PRECIP...ESPECIALLY TOWARD LATE EVNG. WE WILL CONT WITH THE LIKELY POPS THRU THE NIGHT AS THE FRONT PUSHES TO THE SOUTH. COOL WX WITH A GOOD DEAL OF CLOUDS IS EXPECTED FOR MON AND WE HAVE LOWERED GOING HIGHS. CLOUDS SHOULD CLEAR ON MON NIGHT LEADING TO ANOTHER COOL NIGHT FOR THE FA...BUT NOT AS COLD AS WE SAW THIS MORNING. .LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 259 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2014 AS THE SFC HIGH MOVES EAST OF THE AREA ON TUES WE WILL AGAIN SEE WAA ON TUE NIGHT AND MAY ALLOW FOR SOME ISO SHOWERS...MAINLY IN THE SW CWA AFTER MIDNIGHT. WE SHOULD THEN SEE MAINLY DRY WEATHER FOR MOST OF THE WORK WEEK AS THE FLOW PATTERN BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND WE WARM A COUPLE OF DEGREES EVERY DAY. THE MODELS THEN DIVERGE TOWARD NEXT WEEKEND WITH THE GFS/GEM INDCG A FRONTAL SYSTEM AND RA MOVG THROUGH THE AREA WHILE THE EC HAS MORE RIDGING AND MAINLY DRY WEATHER. WILL CONT WITH SOME LO CHC POPS AT THIS TIME UNTIL BETTER AGREEMENT DEVELOPS. && .AVIATION...
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(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2014 VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. MID CLOUDS 5000-7000 FEET AT KOMA/KLNK SHOULD MOVE EAST IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. ADDITIONAL MID CLOUDS MOVE IN DURING THE DAY SUNDAY...THEN A FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION BRINGING A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS BY ABOUT 01Z AT KOFK AND 03-04Z AT KLNK/KOMA.
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&& .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...BOUSTEAD LONG TERM...BOUSTEAD AVIATION...DEWALD

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