Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 161137 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 537 AM CST Thu Nov 16 2017 .SHORT TERM...(Today through Saturday) Issued at 334 AM CST Thu Nov 16 2017 Satl imagery this morning was showing near zonal flow extending across the CONUS. At the surface...a wedge of high pressure was situated across the Plains. Tonight...increasing isentropic upglide coincident to boundary layer moisture axis extending from eastern KS into western IA. Sounding profiles are more conducive for light drizzle initially Friday morning and mainly over the IA CWA where condensation pressure deficits will be least. Dry then during the afternoon hours. A cold front is progged to drop into the northern CWA Friday evening. Soundings at that time indicate the column will be saturated enough to support rain. Precip activity...possible rain/snow mix at times...expands then over the rest of the CWA through Saturday morning. Given the amount of moisture feeding into the region...a few locations might well rainfall amounts of a tenth of an inch or so. Dry then Saturday/Saturday evening. .LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Wednesday) Issued at 334 AM CST Thu Nov 16 2017 Only minor tweaks applied to the extended periods as medium range models continue to show a progressive pattern well into next week with no significant systems moving through to induce precip. Otherwise...looking highs at or just above normal ranging from the upper 40s to low 50s. Lows also just above normal ranging from the mid 20s to low 30s. && .AVIATION...
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(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Friday morning) Issued at 536 AM CST Thu Nov 16 2017 Winds will be the primary concern. Light southeast winds initially, increasing to 12 to 22 knots through the day. Gusts may diminish at KLNK by 22-24z, but should continue through the night at KOFK/KOMA. Also should see MVFR clouds develop at KLNK/KOMA by 17/10-12z.
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&& .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. IA...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...DEE LONG TERM...DEE AVIATION...DeWald

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