Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 270451 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 1151 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016 .SHORT TERM...(tonight through Sunday) Issued at 220 PM CDT Thu May 26 2016 Warm front was located across northeast Kansas at 19z with a large area of convection blooming on either side of the front. Periods of thunderstorms are expected through most of the period as upper trough over the southern Rockies this afternoon lifts across the plains region toward the upper Midwest through Saturday. There looks to be a brief break in the stormy pattern late Saturday night into Sunday behind the trough but additional storms return by Monday. Flash flood watch will cover parts of southeast Nebraska and southwest Iowa near the warm front through tonight with potential for several rounds of thunderstorms and heavy rain. .LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Thursday) Issued at 220 PM CDT Thu May 26 2016 Upper pattern becomes more amplified again in the extended period with more storm chances into at least Wednesday although ECMWF is a bit quicker with drier conditions by Tuesday night compared to the GFS. && .AVIATION...
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(06Z TAFS for KOMA...KLNK...KOFK through 06Z Saturday) Issued at 1145 PM CDT Thu May 26 2016 Wake-low-induced gusty winds ongoing at KOMA should subside within the next couple of hours as the surface pressure gradient relaxes. A band of mainly showers over central Nebraska should gradually overspread the TAF sites overnight in response to the northeastward progression of an MCV currently near KLXN. Some MVFR ceilings may develop late tonight into early Friday on the backside of this precipitation band. A break in the precipitation is expected generally between 12 and 18z Friday before shower and thunderstorm chances again increase ahead of the mid-level trough pivoting northeast across the central Plains.
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&& .OAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
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NE...Flash Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT Friday for NEZ066>068-078- 088>093. IA...Flash Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT Friday for IAZ069-079-080-090- 091.
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&& $$ SHORT TERM...Fobert LONG TERM...Fobert AVIATION...Mead

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