Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 240912 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 312 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014 .SHORT TERM...
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(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY) ISSUED AT 238 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014 TEMPERATURES APPEAR TO BE THE PRIMARY FOCUS IN THE SHORT TERM. TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WAS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION AT 08Z BEHIND DEPARTING SURFACE LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION. UPPER TROUGH MEANWHILE WAS ACROSS EASTERN DAKOTAS INTO CENTRAL KANSAS. NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG AND GUSTY OVER THE AREA UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON AS BOTH SURFACE AND UPPER SYSTEMS TRACK OFF TO THE EAST. CLOUDS LOOK TO REMAIN FOR MUCH OF THE DAY ESPECIALLY IN EASTERN PARTS OF THE AREA. BETWEEN THE CLOUD COVER AND COLD ADVECTION EXPECT TEMPERATURES TODAY TO MAINTAIN A NEARLY STEADY PROFILE THROUGH THE DAY. SECOND UPPER WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT WITH VARIABLE CLOUDS EXPECTED TO BE PRIMARY RESULT. ANOTHER CLIPPER DROPS INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON TUESDAY WITH WARMER AIR PULLED NORTH INTO THE REGION IN ADVANCE OF THE SYSTEM. A PERIOD OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE FOR MAINLY EASTERN PARTS OF THE AREA AS THE LOW MOVES ACROSS TUESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES SUGGEST MAINLY IN THE FORM OF SNOW BUT SOME MIX POSSIBLE INITIALLY BEFORE COLD AIR DEEPENS BEHIND THE LOW. .LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY) ISSUED AT 238 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014 AREA BETWEEN A WESTERN RIDGE AND EASTERN TROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH THE WESTERN EDGE OF COLDER AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE EASTERN TROUGH HANGING ON ACROSS THE AREA DURING THIS TIME. TREND TOWARD WARMER TEMPERATURES BEGINS ON THURSDAY AND EXTENDS INTO SATURDAY AS UPPER FLOW BECOMES ZONAL. MODELS INDICATE ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY WITH A RETURN TO COLDER SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. AT THIS TIME LOOKS LIKE PERIOD SHOULD BE DRY.
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&& .AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 1121 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014 BLUSTERY NORTHWEST WINDS AT 20-32 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD...FINALLY DIMINISHING BY 18-24 HOURS. CLOUD DECK JUST ABOVE VFR 3500-4000 FEET AT ALL TAF SITES...BECOMING MVFR BY 07-09Z AT KOMA/KOFK. COULD ALSO SEE SOME FLURRIES AT KOFK FROM 08-12Z. CONDITIONS LIKELY BECOME VFR AGAIN BY 16-18Z. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...FOBERT LONG TERM...FOBERT AVIATION...DEWALD

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