Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 280130 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 830 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015 .UPDATE...
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ISSUED AT 830 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015 EVEN THOUGH HRRR MODEL GENERALLY HAD TOO MUCH PCPN DURING THE AFTN HOURS...THAT MODEL ALONG WITH SOME OTHERS GENERATE ISOLD TO SCT PCPN ACROSS THE FCST AREA TONIGHT. INCREASED POPS A BIT BUT NO OTHER SGFNT CHANGES WERE MADE AT THIS TIME.
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&& .SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY) ISSUED AT 256 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015 A COUPLE OF ISOLATED SHOWERS POPPED UP IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THEY WILL LIKELY DIMINISH BY 7 PM. OTHERWISE... NORTHWEST FLOW PREVAILS THROUGH THE PERIOD. A CLIPPER COMING OUT OF CENTRAL CANADA WILL MOVE INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY. THE TAIL END OF THIS COULD CLIP A COUPLE OF COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AFTER 09Z...WITH SLIGHT CHANCES OF RAIN SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF WESTERN IOWA AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES EAST SOUTHEAST. AT THE SAME TIME...THIS WAVE WILL SWEEP A SURFACE TROUGH THE THE AREA SWITCHING WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY. DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM. .LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 256 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015 THE NEXT CLIPPER COMING OUT OF CENTRAL CANADA MOVES OUT OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS TUESDAY NIGHT THEN EAST OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY. WILL HAVE 20 TO 40 PERCENT RAIN CHANCES WITH THIS FEATURE. WEDNESDAY NIGHT SHOULD BE DRY...BUT THEN THE NEXT CLIPPER MOVES IN FOR THURSDAY WITH THE NEXT SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN. THE AREA COULD STILL BE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE CYCLONIC FLOW ON FRIDAY FOR LINGERING ISOLATED SHOWERS...BUT MOSTLY SHOULD BE DRY. THE NEXT WAVE COMES OUT OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND WILL PROBABLY BE MOSTLY SOUTH OF THE AREA...BUT COULD BE CLOSE ENOUGH FOR SLIGHT CHANCE POPS SOUTH OF I80. TEMPS THROUGH THE EXTENDED WILL BE FAIRLY COMFORTABLE AND SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. && .AVIATION...(00Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 625 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015 CUMULUS CLOUDS SHOULD DISSIPATE BY 01Z OR SO WITH JUST SOME SCT MID CLOUDS UNTIL AFTER 06Z. SHORTWAVE TROUGH DROPPING DOWN IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW COULD TRIGGER SOME ISOLD TO SCT -SHRA/-TSRA OVERNIGHT. UNCERTAINTY EXISTS ON COVERAGE SO HAVE MENTION OF VCSH JUST AT KOFK AND KOMA. ANY CEILINGS WOULD LIKELY BE ABOVE 4000 FEET. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AS A FRONT PASSES THROUGH...AND MAY BE A BIT GUSTY SUNDAY. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. && $$ UPDATE...MILLER SHORT TERM...DEWALD LONG TERM...DEWALD AVIATION...MILLER

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