Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 301145 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 645 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014 .SHORT TERM...
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(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY) ISSUED AT 310 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014 NIL LARGE SCALE PATTERN CHANGE OVER THE LAST 48 HRS WITH UPPER RIDGE WEST AND ANOMALOUS DEEP TROF EAST PREVAILING. AT THIS POINT SEE LITTLE REASON FROM DEVIATING FROM GOING RELATIVELY COOL AND DRY FCST HEADING INTO THIS WEEKEND. NO DISAGREEMENT AMONGST THE MODELS WHERE THE BULK OF PCPN ACTIVITY WILL BE FOUND DURING THIS TIME...CNTRL HIGH PLAINS/SW KS/ERN OK WHERE BEST ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE/MOISTURE WILL BE FOUND. OTHERWISE WILL MAINTAIN AFTN HIGHS IN THE LOW/MID 80S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS AROUND 60. .LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY) ISSUED AT 310 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014 MODELS AGREE LARGE SCALE FLOW WILL FOR THE MOST PART REMAIN STAGNANT THRU EARLY NEXT WEEK. DAY 6 AND 7 THOUGH...THE ECM PROGS A POTENT VORT MAX DROPPING OUT OF THE DAKOTAS WITH ATTENDANT COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS. GFS ON THE OTHER HAND DEPICTS A VERY WEAK SHORTWAVE COMING THRU. CANNOT TOTALLY DISCOUNT SOME PCPN ACTIVITY DEVELOPING AT THIS POINT...THUS WILL GO WITH SMALL POPS TUES/TUES NIGHT AND WED PDS. OTHERWISE...NEAR OR JUST BELOW NORM TEMPS STILL APPEAR ON THE HORIZON.
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&& .AVIATION...
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(12Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 630 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014 VFR CONDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT NORTH WINDS TODAY WILL VEER TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT BUT REMAIN LIGHT. OTHERWISE SCT-BKN MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
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&& .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...DEE LONG TERM...DEE AVIATION...

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