Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 222335 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 635 PM CDT Sat Oct 22 2016 .SHORT TERM...(tonight through Tuesday) Issued at 300 PM CDT Sat Oct 22 2016 Low pressure over the western Dakotas at 19Z will track eastward overnight pulling a cold front through much of the region by Sunday morning. Cooler air will spread into the area on Sunday behind the front with highs expected to be about 5 to 10 degrees cooler than today, mainly across northern parts of the area. Surface high pressure then moves across the region for Sunday into Monday with the cooler temperatures remaining over the area. Upper ridge axis over the central U.S. begins to flatten by Tuesday as weak short wave energy enters the region from the west. System amplifies over the central plains by Tuesday night with an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms for the area. .LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Saturday) Issued at 300 PM CDT Sat Oct 22 2016 Rain chances continue for Tuesday night into early Wednesday as the system moves through the area with upper ridge building into the region again behind the trough into Friday. Some uncertainties show up between models in the Friday and Saturday time frame however. 12Z ECMWF and GEM hold the ridge into Friday night before bringing next trough into the region from the west, while GFS brings a strong wave into southern Canada already during the day on Friday. Some small isolated PoPs currently in for late in the forecast period on Saturday but adjustments likely with later model runs. && .AVIATION...
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(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening) Issued at 635 PM CDT Sat Oct 22 2016 VFR conditions are expected throughout the TAF cycle. Have continued the mention of low level wind shear overnight into early Sunday morning.
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&& .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. IA...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Fobert LONG TERM...Fobert AVIATION...Kern is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.