Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 231740 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 1240 PM CDT FRI SEP 23 2016 .SHORT TERM...(today through Sunday) Issued at 308 AM CDT FRI SEP 23 2016 A warm front was lifting through the forecast area early this morning, with all convection north of the region. This will result in one more summer like day with southerly breezy winds and high temps in the mid to upper 80s today with dry conditions. Dry weather continues through the evening, but scattered storms should develop in central NE overnight, and could approach a few counties in eastern NE before 12z Saturday. Pops dramatically increase through the day Saturday as a cold front begins to move toward the region with a marginal risk of severe storms possible Saturday afternoon/evening. Shear of 30-35 knots and instability up to 2000 J/kg could result in a few severe storms with wind and hail. PW values also increase to just under 2 inches, which is about 2-3 standard deviations above normal, so locally heavy rainfall will also be possible. All precip should be mostly east of the area by daybreak Sunday with much cooler temperatures in place. .LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Thursday) Issued at 308 AM CDT FRI SEP 23 2016 Quiet and cool weather through the extended period. && .AVIATION...
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(18Z TAFS for KOFK...KLNK and KOMA.) Issued at 1234 PM CDT FRI SEP 23 2016 VFR conidtions are expected through much of the TAF perios. Main concern this go around will be with low level wind shear at all three sites overnight into early Saturday morning as a strong southwesterly low level jet remains over the area. Clouds will increase after sunrise but are anticipated to remain VFR through 18z.
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&& .OAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NE...None. IA...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...DeWald LONG TERM...DeWald AVIATION...Kern

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