Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 300441 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 1141 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2014 .SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 210 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2014 QUIET AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION WITH RETURN SOUTHERLY FLOW SETTING UP OVER CENTRAL NEBRASKA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS RETURN FLOW WILL SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST OVER THE FORECAST AREA TURNING SFC WINDS AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST BY DAYBREAK. OTHERWISE...JUST AN INCREASE IN MID/HIGH CLOUDS IS LIKELY ACROSS OUR NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS WEAK TROUGH. CHILLY AIR WILL DROP INTO THE REGION LATE THURSDAY. THIS WILL BRING LOW TEMPS INTO THE 20S ACROSS OUR NORTHERN CWA THURSDAY NIGHT AND ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION...HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL LIKELY ONLY MAKE IT INTO THE LOW 40S AS HIGH COLD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVERHEAD. SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW SETS UP AROUND THE DEPARTING HIGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. WITH A COLD START TO THE DAY AND INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS...APPARENT TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST IN THE TEENS. .LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY) ISSUED AT 210 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2014 UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD OVERHEAD LATE SATURDAY AND THROUGH SUNDAY BEFORE A DEEPENING WESTERN TROUGH BEGINS TO MOVE TOWARD THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS WILL SEND A STRONG COLD FRONT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO THE REGION MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. WE WILL CONTINUE TO CLOSELY WATCH THE COLD TEMPERATURES BEHIND THIS SYSTEM AND TIMING OF THE ENDING OF PRECIPITATION IN CASE A MIX OF PCPN TYPES NEEDS TO BE ADDRESSED. && .AVIATION...
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(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 1137 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2014 VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES THIS FORECAST PERIOD. A BROKEN DECK HAS MOVED IN AS EXPECTED AND CEILINGS ARE AROUND 10KFT. SURFACE WINDS HAVE DECOUPLED AND SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE NIGHT. JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE WINDS MAY BE AROUND 25 KNOTS...DECIDED NOT TO INCLUDE THIS IN THE TAF AS LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR...BUT IT SHOULD STILL BE NOTED AS A POSSIBLE THREAT.
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&& .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...KERN LONG TERM...KERN AVIATION...PEARSON

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