Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 271113 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 613 AM CDT Sat May 27 2017 .SHORT TERM...(Today through Monday) Issued at 313 AM CDT Sat May 27 2017 Convective complex across central NE/KS will continue to push eastward into our this morning. Thus have increased pops for this morning into the 60-80 percent range. Severe storms across north central KS will probably weaken as they push eastward into our area. Areas north of I80 may not even see much lightning this morning with just showers or a rumble of thunder. Areas along/south of I80 have the best chance to see any stronger storms this morning, as storms take advantage of daylight and warming temperatures, and will have to watch for storm intensification 14-17z, again south of I80 as the complex continues to make eastward progress and clear the CWA 16-19z, depending on area. Then, additional strong convective development is possible this afternoon/evening, but latest Highres CAMs suggest the strongest storms may indeed by /just/ south of the forecast area in eastern KS/central MO, since most of our area may be too far north within the cool sector, and may not have sufficient time to recover after the morning convection. Will still have shower/storm chances this afternoon and early evening, but right now, the greater threat appears to be setting up south of the region this afternoon/evening. The remainder of the holiday weekend is looking great with dry weather and temperatures in the mid 70s. There is a weak wave that moves through Sunday night, but not strong enough to generate precip just yet. .LONG TERM...(Monday night through Friday) Issued at 313 AM CDT Sat May 27 2017 Tuesday and Wednesday both look dry, but rain chances return by Thursday and Friday as moisture and dynamics return to the area. Temps through the extended in the 50s and night and 70s during the day. && .AVIATION...
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(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning) Issued at 612 AM CDT Sat May 27 2017 VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. The first few hours will see scattered showers and thunderstorms where conditions could drop to MVFR briefly.
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&& .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. IA...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...DeWald LONG TERM...DeWald AVIATION...Kern

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