Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 021145 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 645 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2015 .UPDATE... ISSUED AT 645 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2015 ISOLD TO SCT TSRA CONTINUE OVER PARTS OF SERN NE AND SWRN IA AS OF 645 AM CDT. WILL KEEP SOME CHANCE OF PCPN IN THIS AREA INTO MID MORNING. NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME. && .SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY) ISSUED AT 245 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2015 LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM CENTRAL IOWA INTO SOUTHEAST CORNER OF NEBRASKA AT 07Z. DEVELOPMENT WAS SLOWER THAN EXPECTED BY YESTERDAYS MODELS BUT FAIRLY CLOSE WITH CURRENT TIMING. EXPECT MOST OF THE STORMS TO BE OUT OF THE AREA BY 12Z WITH HOT DAYTIME TEMPERATURES THE MAIN FEATURE THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD. UPPER RIDGE AMPLIFIES RAPIDLY AFTER TODAY AS WEST COAST TROUGH DEEPENS WITH AREA EXPECTED TO BE MORE UNDER INFLUENCE OF RIDGE DURING THE PERIOD. STRONGER FLOW AND SHORT WAVE ENERGY LOOKS TO STAY WEST OF THE AREA WHERE BETTER CHANCE OF PRECIP WILL EXIST. AT THIS TIME HAVE SOME SMALL POPS FOR PARTS OF NW CWA WHICH MAY GET BRUSHED AT TIMES BUT MOST AREAS EXPECTED TO STAY DRY THROUGH FRIDAY. .LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY) ISSUED AT 245 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2015 UPPER PATTERN TRANSITIONS IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH STRONG FLOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN CONUS FLATTENING RIDGE AND PUSHING IT SOUTH. THIS RESULTS IN BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES ALSO COOL DURING THE PERIOD. && .AVIATION...(12Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 645 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2015 SOME RESTRICTION TO VSBY WITH FOG AT KOFK...AND LLWS FOR BOTH KOMA AND KLNK SHOULD END BY MID MORNING. OTHERWISE...LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL THREE TAF SITES THROUGH THE PERIOD. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. && $$ UPDATE...MILLER SHORT TERM...FOBERT LONG TERM...FOBERT AVIATION...MILLER

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