Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 290708
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
208 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE MAP AT 07Z SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE RETREATING
OFF TO THE NORTHEAST WITH A COLD FRONT STRETCHED ACROSS THE UPPER
MIDWEST AND INTO THE GREAT PLAINS. IR SATELLITE SHOWING THE
PROMISED UPPER LOW DEVELOPING ALONG THE GULF COAST, SO WITH
MOISTURE STREMING IN AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT TO THE WEST AND THE
UPPER LOW TO OUR SOUTH, LOOK FOR INCREASING CLOUDINESS TODAY WITH
MAINLY SCATTERED SHOWERS (AND A FEW STORMS) DEVELOPING BY
AFTERNOON. MODEL SOUNDINGS DO SHOW CONSIDERABLE INSTABILITY
SETTING UP IN TODAY`S ENVIRONMENT, BUT MOST OF THE MOISTURE WILL
BE CONCENTRATED IN THE LOWER LEVELS, SO COVERAGE WILL BE LIMITED.
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BEGIN TO DRY OUT SOMEWHAT BY MONDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS BACK INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE, WITH DRY WEATHER
LASTING AT LEAST UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THE MID STATE MAY
SEE SOME MOISTURE FROM TS ERIKA REMNANTS, SO WILL INCLUDE LOW
POP`S TOWARD THE END OF THE 7-DAY FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER, THE
GFS AND ECMWF STILL SHOW STARKLY DIFFERENCE SOLUTIONS WITH THE
TROPICAL SYSTEM, WITH THE GFS BRINGING THE SYSTEM ACROSS MIDDLE
TENNESSEE NEXT WEEKEND, AND THE ECMWF KEEPING THE SYSTEM OVER THE
EAST COAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      87  69  83  67 /  30  40  40  20
CLARKSVILLE    86  67  83  65 /  30  30  40  20
CROSSVILLE     81  65  78  62 /  30  30  40  30
COLUMBIA       86  67  82  65 /  30  30  40  20
LAWRENCEBURG   84  68  82  65 /  30  30  40  20
WAVERLY        87  68  84  65 /  30  30  40  20

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

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