Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 291804
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
104 PM CDT THU SEP 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Updated the suite of forecast products to remove the morning
wording in the zone forecast product.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Cold front has pushed into northern Alabama and eastern Tennessee
at this time and will continue move away from our area however
stacked closed upper level cyclone will sink southward from
current position over central Indiana next couple of days keeping
clouds and shower chances on going with temps more typical of
Autumn. I can`t rule out a thunderstorm or two this afternoon
northeast half of the Mid State and again on Friday near the
Kentucky border. Highs today in the 60`s with lows tonight in the
50`s. A tad warmer on Friday but not by much with highs on
Saturday and Sunday in the 70`s. Still a chance for showers
across the north on Saturday especially during the morning but
upper system will be lifting northward as wind max gets on eastern
side so a lessening chance by afternoon Saturday. Highs in the
80`s next week with slight rain chance over the west by the latter
part of the work week.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

With influences of upper level low, which is generally expected to
shift/drift westward thru 30/18Z, hard to pinpoint actual shwrs
iso-sct light shwr development and timing between ceiling
fluctuations at or vcnty terminals. However, observations trends
and short term guidance trends both suggest that mainly MVFR TO
IFR ceilings will persist with some MVFR fog induced VSBYS
expected also, mainly between 30/05Z-30/15Z. Per expected upper
level low movement, think greatest chance of shwrs will be near
CSV and CKV. Forecaster uncertainty on actual development at
individual terminals remains rather high, so will mention VCSH
remarks at this time only. Look for a general shift from N surface
winds in the 5-10 kt at the beginning of the forecast period to
W/SW around 5 kts approaching 30/18Z.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......31
AVIATION........31



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