Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 231049
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
449 AM CST Thu Nov 23 2017

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Mostly clear to clear skies this morning...but very cold
temperatures. Temperatures are in the lower to mid 20s area
wide...with the exception of Nashville where the heat island is
keeping the temperature around freezing. The good news is
temperatures will rise nicely today with highs expected in the
lower to mid 50s with plenty of sunshine. Not much to the forecast
for the next couple days as weak high pressure extending from the
desert southwest will be in control over the area. Temperatures
will warm each day and it will be around 60 by Saturday.

The next cold front will be on Saturday...but it will be very
difficult to wring out any moisture. There could be a few
sprinkles over the plateau. At this time did not put any
measurable pop in the grids.

After this front passes by temperatures will drop down a bit to
around seasonal normals for this time of year. The next system
will be sometime between Wednesday and Thursday. The extended
models are in a huge disagreement with timing and are out of
phase by 24 hours. Have gone with a blend and closer to WPC
guidance. Thanks so much to surrounding offices for the
coordination. Since confidence is so low will carry only low end
chance pops on Wednesday and Wednesday night.

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR. Light north to northeast winds with scattered cirrus are
expected through the afternoon. Some lower clouds between 5K-10K
feet are possible this evening into tonight.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......12
AVIATION........Shamburger


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