844
FNUS75 KTWC 201534
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for East Eagle Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
834 AM MST Fri Sep 20 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MST on September 23.

.DISCUSSION...Mostly dry and warmer temperatures expected
beginning early next week. Dry conditions persist through mid
next week, then a slight chance (10-20%) for thunderstorms on
wednesday afternoon bringing the possibility for gusty outflow
winds and possible locally heavy rainfall. Min RH between 18-23%
on Monday and Tuesday with good overnight recoveries with max RH
rebounding to 58-63%.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....77-80 degrees.
Min humidity........17-20 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds up to 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest late in the morning.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL increasing to 8400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 7 knots shifting to the
                    southeast around 6 knots late in the morning,
                    then shifting to the southwest 7 to 9 knots in
                    the late morning and early afternoon shifting
                    to the west around 9 knots late in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........9         6         5         7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............56        66        77        78
RH..............44        30        19        18
20 FT wind......NE 2G6    E 4G8     S 6G10    SW 6G11
Mix hgt (ft)....1400      5600      8100      7400
Transport wind..NE 7      SE 6      SW 8      W 9
Haines index....2         2         2         3

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....55-58 degrees.
Max humidity........43-46 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the north up
                    to 5 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL decreasing to 100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 9 knots shifting to the north
                    7 to 10 knots in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........12        20        24        26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............73        63        59        56
RH..............23        34        39        43
20 FT wind......W 4G10    NW 3G7    N 4G8     N 3G6
Mix hgt (ft)....5800      2300      100       100
Transport wind..W 9       NW 9      N 9       N 8
Haines index....4         3         2         3

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....78-81 degrees.
Min humidity........16-19 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds up to 5 mph shifting to the
                    east 5 to 6 mph late in the morning, then
                    shifting to the southwest 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and early afternoon shifting to
                    the west late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL increasing to 10900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 6 knots shifting to the southwest 6
                    to 9 knots in the late morning and early
                    afternoon, then shifting to the south around 9
                    knots late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........26        20        16        27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         10        10
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............57        67        78        79
RH..............44        31        18        17
20 FT wind......NE 2G6    E 4G8     SW 5G10   SW 6G12
Mix hgt (ft)....1900      7300      10700     9900
Transport wind..N 6       N 6       SW 8      SW 9
Haines index....3         3         3         4

$$
Forecaster...TETRAULT
Requested by...Joe Names
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2422786.0/TWC
.DELDT 09/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.names@usda.gov

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