Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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FGUS73 KPAH 052032
ESFPAH
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-INC051-125-129-147-163-173-KYC007-033-035-039-047-
055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-149-157-177-219-221-225-
233-MOC017-023-031-035-133-143-157-181-201-207-223-061000-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
232 PM CST SAT MAR 5 2016

...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EVENT ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK...

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. THIS MAY BEGIN TO CAUSE PROBLEMS AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY
OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI, EVENTUALLY EXTENDING INTO
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS, SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND PARTS OF FAR WEST
KENTUCKY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO
SATURDAY. THERE WILL ALSO BE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FROM TIME TO
TIME, WHICH MAY PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVIER RAINFALL. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
FROM TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY OF THREE TO FIVE INCHES MAY BE
COMMONPLACE WEST OF THE PENNYRILE REGION, WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS
LIKELY FROM THE OZARK FOOTHILLS TO POPLAR BLUFF. MODELS HAVE
SHIFTED THE HEAVIEST RAIN WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...ABOUT 50
PLUS MILES WEST OF PREVIOUS RUNS.

SOILS ACROSS THE REGION ARE ALREADY MOIST. THIS WILL INCREASE THE
CHANCES FOR RUNOFF OF WATER OVER THE GROUND, FILLING SMALL
DITCHES, CREEKS, AND STREAMS.

THERE WILL BE SOME VARIABILITY IN THE EXACT TIMING, TRACK AND
AMOUNTS OF THE HEAVY RAIN NEXT WEEK, SO STAY TUNED TO THE
LATEST FORECASTS.

NOW IS A GOOD TIME TO PLAN AND BE PREPARED FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVY AND POTENTIALLY FLOOD PRODUCING RAINS NEXT WEEK.

$$



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