Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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000
FXUS63 KBIS 282012
AFDBIS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
312 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 253 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

DEEP SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER SOUTHEAST SASKATCHEWAN
WILL MOVE EAST TONIGHT. HIGH WIND WARNING CRITERIA BEING MET
ACROSS THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE STATE SO FAR TODAY. MAIN CHANGE
TO HEADLINES WILL BE TO EXTEND THE HIGH WIND WARNING WEST SEVERAL
MORE HOURS INTO THIS EVENING AS THE H850 WINDS AND BUFKIT
SOUNDINGS SHOW MOMENTUM TRANSFER THROUGH 04Z. RADAR AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS SHOW SHOWERS EXTEND ACROSS NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.
WILL SPREAD AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AS FAR SOUTHEAST
AS BISMARCK THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE WINDS DIMINISHING AFTER 04Z
AND SHOWERS ENDING BY MORNING. BREEZY WEDNESDAY BUT NOT SHOULD
REMAIN BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 253 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

WEDNESDAY NIGHT WINDS WILL FINALLY DIMINISH AS THE LOW EXITS THE
REGION.

A TRANSITION TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL
BRING COOLER AND DRYER CONDITIONS TO THE REGION THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK. WARMER TEMPERATURES AND CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS RETURN
THIS WEEKEND AS THE JET STREAM SHIFTS SOUTH AGAIN AND SEVERAL FAST
MOVING UPPER LEVEL WAVES PROPAGATE THROUGH.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 253 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

DEEP LOW PRESSURE ACROSS SASKATCHEWAN WILL MOVE EAST TODAY. HAZARD
TO AVIATION WILL BE STRONG SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 35 TO 55 KTS
KISN-KDIK-KMOT-KBIS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. WINDS
DIMINISHING TO 30KTS OR LESS AFTER 04Z.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 11 PM CDT /10 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR
NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>036-040>044.

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR NDZ037-045>048-
050-051.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WAA
LONG TERM...AJ
AVIATION...WAA


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