Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FXUS64 KBMX 062329
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
529 PM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

THE CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEDGE FRONT HAVE DISSIPATED AND
EXPECT CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF CLEAR SKIES AND
LIGHT NORTH WINDS WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER COLD NIGHT ACROSS
CENTRAL ALABAMA WITH ALL AREAS FALLING BELOW FREEZING. DO NOT
EXPECT ANY TEENS SATURDAY MORNING...BUT LOW 20S POSSIBLE IN THE
COLDER VALLEYS. A NICE WARM-UP THIS WEEKEND AS THE COLD AIR MASS
SHIFTS EASTWARD OUT OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND TO NEAR
AVERAGE VALUES BY SUNDAY. HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE
SATURDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE SOUTHWEST STATES. THE
CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER ON SUNDAY WHICH MAY TURN OUT TO BE A
MOSTLY CLOUDY DAY. SOUTHWEST UPPER FLOW WILL BRING RAIN INTO
CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

AN UPPER TROF WILL REMAIN OVER TEXAS ALL NEXT WEEK AND FEED PACIFIC
MOISTURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES. FAIRLY HIGH RAIN
CHANCES WILL PREVAIL ALL NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER FLOW PATTERN WILL
NOT CHANGE. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT THERE IS NO INTRUSION OF COLD
AIR INTO THE DEEP SOUTH DURING THIS PERIOD...SO TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN WELL ABOVE FREEZING. EAST OR NORTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW
THROUGH THURSDAY WILL KEEP THE GULF MOISTURE CONFINED TO THE
COAST...AND NO THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EXPECTED. AS THE UPPER TROF
AMPLIFIES LATE IN THE WEEK...HIGHER MARINE MOISTURE MAY PUSH NORTHWARD
AND INCREASE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.

58/ROSE


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME CIRRUS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE WITH WINDS
BECOMING LIGHT NORTHERLY THIS EVENING. WINDS EITHER CALM OR
VARIBLE TOMORROW AS A SURFACE HIGH SETTLES OVER THE AREA. NO
ISSUES EXPECTED...VFR.

88

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES: AUTAUGA...BARBOUR...BIBB...BULLOCK...
CHAMBERS...CHILTON...CLAY...COOSA...DALLAS...ELMORE...GREENE...
HALE...LEE...LOWNDES...MACON...MARENGO...MONTGOMERY...PERRY...
PIKE...RANDOLPH...RUSSELL...SHELBY...SUMTER...TALLADEGA...
TALLAPOOSA.

&&

$$








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