Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
000
FXUS64 KBMX 250425
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1125 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
LOOKING AT THE EVENING SOUNDING...IT IS ABOUT THE DRIEST THAT YOU
WILL EVER SEE IN LATE MAY. THE PW WHICH WOULD TYPICALLY BE 1.5 TO 2
INCHES IS WAY DOWN TO 0.22 INCHES. THE DEWPOINTS ARE LOW AS
WELL...WITH AUBURN CHECKING IN LAST HOUR AT A LOW 37. THIS DRY AIR
WILL FORCE THE TEMPERATURES DOWN INTO THE 40S FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS.
AMAZINGLY THIS IS IN THE BALLPARK BUT NOT AT RECORD LEVELS WHICH
WOULD TAKE US INTO THE LOWER 40S AND UPPER 30S TERRITORY SET IN
1979. HOWEVER...IT LOOKS TO BE CLOSE TO TOP 3 LOWEST SINCE RECORD
KEEPING BEGAN HERE IN 1800S. FORECAST LOWS COULD END UP HAVING A
MAJOR ISSUE AS I AM SEEING MORE UPPER LEVEL CIRRUS STREAMING IN FROM
THE LARGE STORM COMPLEX IN CENTRAL TEXAS. IT COULD BE JUST ENOUGH
TO BLANKET OUR AREA WITH ENOUGH COVER TO PUSH THE LOW TEMPS UP
SEVERAL DEGREES. OTHERWISE...EARLIER FORECAST LOOKS REASONABLE.
17/KLAWS
&&
.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A FEW CIRRUS
CLOUDS WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 7 KTS
THROUGHOUT THE TAF CYCLE AND BECOME MORE EASTERLY LATER IN THE
DAY.
05/MA
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$