Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 312328

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
628 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

Issued at 337 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

Short range (Today through Thursday night):

A slow moving cold front is located across northwest Missouri this
afternoon. This front  will be slowly forced southeastward across
the area by an upper level trough that will be moving from ND into
MN this evening tonight. Although the area remains uncapped this
afternoon isolation from blow off from earlier convection over
Kansas has limited instability. Consequently storms have been slow
to initiate this afternoon. However, scattered convection will still
be possible late this afternoon and evening as the cold front slowly
progresses through the CWA. The cold front will push south and east
of the area tonight with showers and thunderstorms pushing south and
east of the area. Surface high pressure is then expected to build
into the area tomorrow with the cold front stalling south of the
area. A few showers can not be ruled out across the extreme southern
CWA however dry area should uncut shower chances. High pressure will
then remain in control over the area through Thursday night. Highs
on Wednesday and Thursday will generally be in the upper 70s to
near 80.

Medium range: (Friday through Tuesday):

High pressure finally shifts off to the northeast on Friday and warm
air begins to advect back into the area pushing temperatures into
the low to mid 80s. Friday night a upper level trough will move from
the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest forcing a cold front into
the CWA Friday night. Showers and thunderstorms will be accompany
this frontal passage. Showers and thunderstorms will continue into
early Saturday before conditions dry out. Highs on Saturday will be
in the upper 70s to lower 80s behind the front. High pressure builds
back into the region on Sunday. High pressure is then expected to
keep conditions dry and comfortable through Tuesday. Highs Sunday
will be in the mid-upper 70s and slowly warm into the upper 70s to
the lower 80s by Tuesday


.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday Evening)
Issued at 628 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

Storms have developed along a weak cold front over northwest
Missouri, though are struggling to build much further south. There`s
still a small chance this activity could fill in further south toward
KC over the next couple of hours, otherwise conditions will be clear
the next 24 hours.


.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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