Area Forecast Discussion
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FXPQ60 PGUM 270553
AFDPQ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tiyan GU
353 PM CHST FRI MAY 27 2016

.Synopsis...
Gentle winds and partly cloudy skies are found across the Marianas
this afternoon. Radar and satellite show isolated light showers...
mainly east of the islands.

&&

.Discussion...
In this dry static weather pattern characterized by a surface
ridge across the Marianas...there was no reason to change the
forecast. Isolated showers still look good through Sunday...but
then only a slight chance of showers is seen for next week.

&&

.Fire weather...
Winds are expected to be gentle for the next week or so...and as a
result there should be no red flag conditions. Even so...with such
dry conditions in place outdoor burning would not be a good idea
until rain returns to the region.

&&

.Eastern Micronesia...
Satellite imagery shows a trade-wind disturbance passing by south of
Pohnpei this evening while drier weather is seen at Majuro and
Kosrae. Most showers will keep south of Pohnpei overnight...but
skies will be mostly cloudy. Another trade-wind disturbance just
east of Majuro will bring more clouds and possibly a thunderstorm or
two to the central Marshall Islands over the weekend. Dry weather
will prevail at Kosrae and Pohnpei through the weekend. Another
trade-wind convergence pattern is progged to develop from east to
west by Sunday night and could bring an increase in clouds and
showers to the region next week.

&&

.Western Micronesia...
A trade-wind disturbance southeast of Koror will head west overnight
bringing isolated showers and thunderstorms to the Republic tonight.
Drier weather will persist at Yap and Chuuk overnight. Another
disturbance south of Pohnpei will head west and bring isolated
showers and thunderstorms to Chuuk for the weekend. Weak ridging
this weekend will keep dry and pleasant conditions in place at Yap
and Koror. Did maintain a slight chance of thunderstorms for Koror
for the afternoon time in case there is enough moisture to support
island-effect convection.

&&

.GUM Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
GU...None.
Marianas Waters...None.

&&

$$

Middlebrooke/M. Aydlett



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