Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FXUS62 KTBW 310134 AAA
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
934 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

...STORMS MOVING THROUGH NATURE COAST AND COASTAL WATERS THIS
EVENING...

.UPDATE...
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVED ACROSS
MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...WITH STRONG WIND
GUSTS REPORTED AROUND THE TAMPA BAY AND SUNCOAST AREAS. WHILE THE
NIGHT HAS QUIETED DOWN FOR AREAS FROM INTERSTATE 4 SOUTHWARD...THE
NATURE COAST AND NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS CONTINUE TO SEE THE LINE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVE THROUGH THIS EVENING. HAVE
UPDATED THE FORECAST WITH OBSERVED TRENDS...THOUGH A DECREASE IN
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED BY MIDNIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY...WITH AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED AGAIN. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND
EASTERLY. A SEA BREEZE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE GULF COAST
ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON...LEADING TO BETTER RAIN CHANCES AT MANY OF
THE TERMINALS AFTER 18Z SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
THE AREA REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW
WITH AFTN SEABREEZE ALLOWING THE WINDS TO BECOME MORE ONSHORE
DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LEAD TO SHOWERS AND TSTMS SETTING
UP ALONG THE GULF COAST. WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 15 KTS WITH SEAS
3 FEET OR LESS FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AND CONTINUING INTO NEXT
WEEK. THE BIGGEST MARINE CONCERN WILL BE LOCALLY HIGHER
WINDS...SEAS AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING IN AND AROUND STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  78  92  78  93 /  50  60  30  40
FMY  75  94  76  94 /  20  70  30  50
GIF  75  95  75  93 /  30  40  20  40
SRQ  75  93  75  92 /  40  60  30  50
BKV  73  94  73  93 /  70  50  20  50
SPG  77  92  80  92 /  50  60  30  40

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...02/GARCIA
MARINE...11/MCKAUGHAN
DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES...57/MCMICHAEL






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