Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 250019
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
819 PM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.UPDATE...
Early evening water vapor satellite imagery is showing a large spun
up trough over the Southern Plains, while ridging remains in control
aloft across Florida and the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Generally
easterly surface flow is continuing to bring in modest low level
moisture off the Atlantic, which will support scattered cloud
coverage overnight. Surface dew points are high enough that a few
patches of fog cannot be completely ruled out, but the cloud cover
and surface winds should prevent widespread fog.

The forecast looks on track overall with near to above normal
temperatures and rain free conditions holding well into next week.
No significant changes are needed for the evening update.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will hold through the next 24 hours. Generally
easterly winds could give way to a sea breeze turning winds onshore
near the coast Saturday afternoon, most likely at KTPA, KPIE, and
KSRQ.

&&

.MARINE...
Atlantic surface high pressure will continue to ridge into the
northeastern Gulf of Mexico through the middle of next week. A fairly
tight pressure gradient tonight will allow for an easterly surge
increasing wind speeds up to cautionary level offshore through early
Saturday morning. The pressure gradient will then gradually relax
through the weekend, with winds and seas expected to remain below
headline criteria through the remainder of the period.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  63  82  65  81 /   0  10  10   0
FMY  62  84  62  84 /   0  10  10   0
GIF  60  83  61  84 /   0   0   0  10
SRQ  61  81  62  79 /   0  10  10   0
BKV  57  82  58  82 /   0  10  10  10
SPG  65  80  66  80 /   0  10  10   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...18/Fleming
UPPER AIR...42/Norman
DECISION SUPPORT...42/Norman


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