Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS West Gulf RFC

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AGUS74 KFWR 131627
HMDFWR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1026 AM CST WED DEC 13 2017

                VALID DECEMBER 13 THROUGH DECEMBER 18

  ...PRECIPITATION RETURNS TO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS TOMORROW...

                   ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
A slight warming trend can be expected this work week across the
WGRFC area as temperatures continue to rebound to near average.
By tomorrow, a cold front is forecast to move across the area and
bring some much need precipitation to portions of Deep South
Texas. Another chance of precipitation is possible this weekend,
as an upper level disturbance moves across portions of East Texas.

Although this precipitaton will bring some relief to portions
of the state, unfortunately the drought is expected to
continue. No significant rainfall or flooding is expected the
next 5 days.


                    ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Thursday morning, no significant Mean Areal
Precipitation (MAP) amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Thursday into Friday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 inch or less
are forecast for portions of Deep South Texas.

For Friday into Saturday morning, MAP amounts of up to 0.50 inch are
forecast for portions of Deep South Texas.

For Saturday into Monday morning, MAP amounts of up to 1.00 inch are
forecast for portions of East Texas.

The latest U.S. Drought Monitor for Texas shows the area considered
to be abnormally dry is around 72%, with around 37% of the state
experiencing moderate drought and 11% in severe drought.  In New
Mexico, 53% of the state is having abnormally dry conditions, with
16% in moderate drought conditions (over the far western portions).
With the dry weather this fall, a large portion of the WGRFC
forecast area is experiencing some type of abnormally dry or drought
condition.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...WGRFC Basins...
All rivers across the WGRFC area are at or below normal flows and
are expected to remain below criteria levels for the next 5 days


              ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.weather.gov/wgrfc/wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/NWSWestGulf

National Precipitation Analysis:
http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.weather.gov/wgrfc/wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:
http://www.waterdatafortexas.org/reservoirs/statewide

MCCANTS


$$





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