Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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AGUS73 KMSR 131756
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HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1155 AM CST SAT FEB 13 2016

...Precipitation...
Lake effect snow continued over both upper and lower Michigan.
The highest liquid report was 0.64 near Grand Marais MI on the
Upper Peninsula.  Otherwise most reports were less than a tenth of
an inch water equivalent...except for up to a quarter inch over
southwest and northwest lower Michigan and along the Lake Superior
shore.  Light snow also moved into southern Saskatchewan and the
western Dakotas in association with the next system.  Most amounts
there were less than a tenth of an inch water equivalent.

During the next 24 hours an upper level disturbance and associated
surface low along a warm front will bring snow to the right of a
line from Warroad MN to the Twin Cities MN to Dubuque IA to
Champaign IL.  The heaviest precipitation is forecast just west of
the NCRFC area in the upper Missouri River drainage of the
Dakotas.  Southwest Minnesota can expect between a quarter and
half inch new water equivalent by Sunday morning with lighter
amounts expected elsewhere in the NCRFC forecast area.  The system
will spread snow east on Sunday to cover most of the NCRFC area.
For the 24 hour period ending 6am CST Monday...a tenth to a third
of an inch water equivalent is expected over eastern Iowa...
northwest Illinois... southwest Wisconsin and southern
Minnesota...with lighter amounts elsewhere.

...Hydrologic Conditions...
There is no significant flooding occurring and none is forecast in
the next 5 days.

Ice jams continue to cause elevated stages at several locations.
With temperatures expected to remain below normal through the
weekend...additional locations may see impacts due to ice jam
development.

For additional and more in-depth information concerning river
forecasts...precipitation and all hydrometeorological information
in the NCRFC area of responsibility...please refer to the NCRFC
web page at:     http://www.weather.gov/ncrfc

Emergency Call Back List: ALH... JMP... LNE

If no response from this list... call the DOH...SCH or HIC.

$$

...lne/jmp...




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