Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS02 KWNS 300510
SWODY2
SPC AC 300509

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1209 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A FEW STRONG STORMS WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND WIND ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

...SYNOPSIS...
A POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EWD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND
WITH LIFT RESULTING IN SCATTERED AFTERNOON STORMS...SOME CONTAINING
HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. TO THE SW...A WEAK INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH
WILL EXIST ACROSS ERN TX INTO THE ARKLATEX WITH MAINLY A RAIN THREAT
BENEATH NWLY FLOW ALOFT.

OTHER DAYTIME STORMS WILL EXIST ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS STATES INTO
THE GREAT BASIN BENEATH THE UPPER RIDGE.

...NRN NY INTO NEW ENGLAND...
STRONG COOLING ALOFT AND AREAS OF HEATING WILL RESULT IN UP TO 500
J/KG MUCAPE FROM NY INTO ME. BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS WILL REMAIN IN
THE 50S F...WHICH WILL PROVIDE AMPLE MOISTURE FOR HAIL PRODUCTION
GIVEN 500 MB TEMPERATURES OF -18 C NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER. THE
SURFACE FRONT WILL BE WEAK...BUT FORCING WITH THE UPPER TROUGH WILL
SUPPORT SCATTERED STORMS. HODOGRAPHS WILL LENGTHEN AND WILL FAVOR A
FEW LONG-LIVED CORES WITH HAIL AROUND SEVERE LIMITS AS WELL AS SMALL
BOWS WITH LOCALIZED WIND.

..JEWELL.. 07/30/2014




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