Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Fairbanks, AK

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FXAK69 PAFG 071157
AFDAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
257 AM AKST SUN FEB 7 2016

.DISCUSSION...
RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR NORTHERN ALASKA INTO THE
UPCOMING WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES RUNNING GENERALLY ABOVE NORMAL
AND ONLY VERY LIGHT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...IF ANY...EXPECTED. MODELS
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALOFT EXTENDING
FROM THE HIGH ARCTIC AND DOWN TO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH WESTERN
CANADA. THIS WILL BLOCK ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER SYSTEMS FROM
MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA. SOUTHEAST FLOW ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR
A COUPLE WEAK WEATHER FRONTS TO SPIN NORTHWARD INTO THE INTERIOR
AND RESULT IN SOME CLOUDS AND SNOW SHOWERS BUT AMOUNTS WILL BE
LIGHT AND NOT WIDESPREAD.

IN THE SHORT TERM...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN
INTERIOR AND WEST COAST WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE NORTHWEST AND
TOWARD RUSSIA. AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF FROM THE SOUTH TODAY WITH LESS THAN 1
INCH OF SNOW EXPECTED. A TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS FEATURE IS RESULTING IN WINDS FROM 20 TO 30 MPH AND
SOME BLOWING SNOW AROUND NORTHWEST ALASKA AND THE WESTERN ARCTIC
COAST. AS THE TROUGH DEPARTS THE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA.

LOW PRESSURE MOVING FROM KODIAK ISLAND AND INTO THE SOUTHERN
BERING ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL SPREAD A FEW MORE SNOW SHOWERS
INTO THE SOUTHWEST PART OF THE STATE. THIS WILL ALSO BRING WEAK
CHINOOK FLOW TO THE ALASKA RANGE BUT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE FROM THE
NORTHEAST GULF OF ALASKA AND WILL SPREAD SOME SNOW SHOWERS INTO
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240-
PKZ245.
&&

$$

EWP FEB 16



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