Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 070344 AAB
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
944 PM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

WITH CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE MUCH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA EXCEPT FOR THE
FAR SOUTHEAST (SOUTHEAST OF I85) AND MUCH LIGHTER WINDS TONIGHT WE
ARE COOLING DOWN NICELY. CURRENTLY WE REMAIN UNDER A HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE CENTERED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY. MADE ONLY A FEW TWEAKS TO TEMPERATURES DOWNWARD MAINLY
ACROSS THE FAR NORTH. UPDATE ALREADY OUT.

08/MK

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME CIRRUS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE WITH WINDS
BECOMING LIGHT NORTHERLY THIS EVENING. WINDS EITHER CALM OR
VARIABLE TOMORROW AS A SURFACE HIGH SETTLES OVER THE AREA. NO
ISSUES EXPECTED...VFR.

88

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 247 PM CST FRI MAR 6 2015/
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

THE CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEDGE FRONT HAVE DISSIPATED AND
EXPECT CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF CLEAR SKIES AND
LIGHT NORTH WINDS WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER COLD NIGHT ACROSS
CENTRAL ALABAMA WITH ALL AREAS FALLING BELOW FREEZING. DO NOT
EXPECT ANY TEENS SATURDAY MORNING...BUT LOW 20S POSSIBLE IN THE
COLDER VALLEYS. A NICE WARM-UP THIS WEEKEND AS THE COLD AIR MASS
SHIFTS EASTWARD OUT OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND TO NEAR
AVERAGE VALUES BY SUNDAY. HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE
SATURDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE SOUTHWEST STATES. THE
CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER ON SUNDAY WHICH MAY TURN OUT TO BE A
MOSTLY CLOUDY DAY. SOUTHWEST UPPER FLOW WILL BRING RAIN INTO
CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

AN UPPER TROF WILL REMAIN OVER TEXAS ALL NEXT WEEK AND FEED PACIFIC
MOISTURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES. FAIRLY HIGH RAIN
CHANCES WILL PREVAIL ALL NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER FLOW PATTERN WILL
NOT CHANGE. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT THERE IS NO INTRUSION OF COLD
AIR INTO THE DEEP SOUTH DURING THIS PERIOD...SO TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN WELL ABOVE FREEZING. EAST OR NORTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW
THROUGH THURSDAY WILL KEEP THE GULF MOISTURE CONFINED TO THE
COAST...AND NO THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EXPECTED. AS THE UPPER TROF
AMPLIFIES LATE IN THE WEEK...HIGHER MARINE MOISTURE MAY PUSH NORTHWARD
AND INCREASE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.

58/ROSE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     22  58  31  62  42 /   0   0   0  10  40
ANNISTON    25  60  34  65  45 /   0   0   0  10  40
BIRMINGHAM  24  60  35  65  44 /   0   0   0  10  40
TUSCALOOSA  26  60  37  65  45 /   0   0   0  10  40
CALERA      27  60  37  66  46 /   0   0   0  10  40
AUBURN      30  62  40  68  49 /   0   0   0   0  30
MONTGOMERY  28  63  37  69  48 /   0   0   0  10  30
TROY        27  64  39  70  50 /   0   0   0  10  40

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES: AUTAUGA...BARBOUR...BIBB...BULLOCK...
CHAMBERS...CHILTON...CLAY...COOSA...DALLAS...ELMORE...GREENE...
HALE...LEE...LOWNDES...MACON...MARENGO...MONTGOMERY...PERRY...
PIKE...RANDOLPH...RUSSELL...SHELBY...SUMTER...TALLADEGA...
TALLAPOOSA.

&&

$$

08/88/58





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