Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 290815
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
315 AM CDT Mon May 29 2017

...Updated short and long term sections...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 314 AM CDT Mon May 29 2017

North to northwest flow will be found above the Central High
Plains today through tonight due to an upper level low over the
Great Lakes and an upper level ridge over the western United
States. A piece of upper level energy will swing around the upper
level low and through the Northern Plains today. This will in turn
help push a cold front through Kansas this afternoon. Westerly
winds are expected early this morning before shifting to a
northerly direction by this afternoon behind the front. This will
be short lived as winds quickly turn to the east or southeast
tonight when the center of high pressure slides east of the CWA.
There will be an increase in mid level clouds this afternoon into
the evening with a slight chance of thunderstorms along the KS/CO
border. Any storms that do form look to slowly trek eastward
across the remainder of the CWA. For the most part, most places
look to remain dry. As for temperatures, highs today look to range
from the upper 70s across west central Kansas to mid 80s across
south central Kansas. Lows tonight are anticipated to range from
around 50 degrees across west central Kansas to upper 50s across
south central Kansas.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 314 AM CDT Mon May 29 2017

Weak northwesterly flow continues through mid week then the upper
level ridge pushes eastward overhead as the next upper level
trough digs into the western United States. A few upper level
disturbances are expected to moving through the area throughout
the long term period. These disturbances will keep storm chances
in the forecast almost everyday, however, most places will also
remain dry. None of these storms look to be too serious or have a
significant risk for severe weather. Although, models could change
as new runs become available. As for temperatures, highs will
generally reach into the 80s Tuesday with low to mid 80s expected
for the remainder of the long term period. Lows look to be in the
50s Tuesday night then around 60 degrees to lower 60s for the
remainder of the long term period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1209 AM CDT Mon May 29 2017

VFR conditions will prevail today with mostly clear skies. Winds
will start out from a westerly direction this morning shifting to
the north by this afternoon. Winds then shift to the east to
northeast this evening. Wind speeds should be less than 10 knots
throughout the day.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  80  54  82  57 /  10  20  20  30
GCK  81  51  81  55 /  20  20  20  30
EHA  80  54  81  55 /  20  30  20  30
LBL  82  55  83  57 /  20  20  20  30
HYS  78  53  79  55 /  10  20  20  20
P28  84  57  84  60 /  10  20  10  20

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Hovorka_42



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