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000
FXUS62 KJAX 131428
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1028 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014

.UPDATE...
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LINGERING LOW STRATUS AND A FEW PATCHES OF
FOG OVER INLAND AREAS WHERE HEAVY RAIN FELL RECENTLY. ALSO NOTABLE
ARE A COUPLE DISTURBANCES NEARBY. THE FIRST IS OVER THE GA COASTAL
WATERS AND HAS BEEN WEAKENING AND DRIFTING NORTH. ANOTHER IS WEST
OF THE AREA OVER APALACHEE BAY. MODELS HINT THESE FEATURES WILL
TEND TO DRIFT AWAY FROM OUR AREA TODAY...BUT CONVECTION WILL
DEVELOP ALONG A MID LEVEL TROUGH THAT CONNECTS THE FEATURES. THUS
HIGHEST POPS WILL BE ACROSS THE SUWANNEE VALLEY AND INLAND SE
GA...BUT THESE AREAS ALSO HAVE LINGERING CLOUDINESS WHICH IS
KEEPING TEMPS COOLER AND CONVECTION WILL GET A LATER START. STILL
EXPECT HIGH END SCATTERED POPS THIS AFTERNOON AND HIGHS ARND 90.

&&

.AVIATION...
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FROM RECENT RAINS HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO LOW
STRATUS WHICH LINGERS AT VQQ AND GNV THIS MORNING. EXPECT
IMPROVEMENT AFTER 15Z THIS MORNING. SCATTERED TSRA ARE EXPECTED
AGAIN THIS AFTN/EVENING.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS ARE GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS MORNING SINCE THE
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS DWINDLED. ONLY ISOLATED ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE DAY. NO CHANGES FOR THE UPDATE.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK IS EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  92  73  96  72 /  40  40  30  30
SSI  85  75  91  77 /  50  20  30  20
JAX  90  74  93  74 /  40  30  40  30
SGJ  86  74  90  76 /  30  20  30  30
GNV  89  72  92  72 /  40  40  50  30
OCF  90  72  93  72 /  40  40  50  30

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

TRABERT/GUILLET