Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS62 KKEY 011535
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1035 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

.DISCUSSION...
.CURRENTLY...
It`s another warm and humid morning across the Florida Keys, with
current temperatures in the mid to upper 70s (low 70s in passing
showers) and dew points in the low 70s. Kbyx detects a cluster of
showers moving through the Florida Straits and across the Lower
Keys, with more isolated activity 5 to 60 nm off the Upper Keys.
As for winds... CWOP stations are reporting mostly ESE winds
around 5 to 10 mph (and higher gusts with passing shower activity)
with CMAN stations reporting east to southeast winds 10 to 15
knots. The Pulley Ridge Buoy reports 3 ft seas in the southeastern
gulf.

.SHORT TERM...
Updated the immediate forecast to include a mix of sun and clouds
today with passing showers. Otherwise, the forecast remains on
track with highs approaching the mid 80s (5 degrees warmer than
climatological normals). Another round of shower activity is
expected this evening with possible convection firing off the
coast of Cuba. This cluster of showers will swing northward to
the Florida Keys and South Florida, around the western fringe of
the exiting Bermuda High and ahead of the incoming cold front.
This front is on track to cross the island chain Friday morning.

&&

.MARINE...
No advisories or headlines are in place across the coastal waters
adjacent to the Florida Keys. A strong cold front will reach the
island chain Friday morning, and marine conditions will
deteriorate in response, with fresh to strong breezes expected
Friday afternoon and through the weekend. Small craft advisories
will likely be necessary for all coastal waters as a result.


&&

.AVIATION...
A pocket of showers will bring brief MVFR conditions to the KEYW
terminal in the near term, and this has been tempoed at that
location. The probability of sub-VFR conditions at KMTH is expected
to be even briefer, and that tempo ends sooner this morning.
Otherwise, expect VFR conditions at both terminals through the
afternoon with east to southeast winds sustained around 10 knots.

&&

.CLIMATE...
On this date in 1931, 0.92 inches of rain was measured in Key West.
This set the daily rainfall record for March first in the city.
Rainfall records for Key West date back to 1871.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...MCLOVIN
Aviation/Nowcasts....04
Data Collection......DR

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