Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 270546 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1245 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

.AVIATION...
OVERALL VFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH MID AND HIGH CLOUDS
STREAMING IN OVER AR. TOWARD SUNRISE WEDNESDAY PATCHY MVFR MAY BE
SEEN. ISOLATED CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVER NW
AR AND SOUTHERN AR...BUT AT THIS TIME...UNCERTAINTY DOES EXIST
CONCERNING LOCATION AND COVERAGE. ONLY USED VCSH OR VCTS AT THIS
TIME. WINDS WILL BE SE TO SW AT 5 TO 10 MPH. (59)

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
UPPER HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. AN UPPER LOW
IS OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND AN UPPER TROUGH IS OVER THE UPPER
MIDWEST. THE MIDWEST TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND THE UPPER LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE ROCKIES BY FRIDAY.
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS IS OVER ARKANSAS AND
THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.

A COLD FRONT IS IN THE PLAINS AT THIS TIME AND WILL MOVE TO SOUTH
MISSOURI BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND STALL. THE FRONT LIFTS BACK TO
THE NORTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...KEEPING ARKANSAS IN THE WARM MOIST
SECTOR. SEVERAL SHORT WAVES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE
SHORT TERM AND BRING PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. GENERAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE EXCESSIVE BUT THAT DOES NOT
RULE OUT ISOLATED HEAVY AMOUNTS WITH THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 80S. LOWS WILL MAINLY BE IN THE 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE SHIFTING EAST OF THE REGION DURING THE
DAY SATURDAY...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER WEAK IMPULSE ON SUNDAY/MONDAY. A
STRONGER SYSTEM WILL SHIFT EAST THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES
REGION...USHERING HIGH PRESSURE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDWEST.
THE WEAKER IMPULSES COMBINED WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THE
STRONGER NORTHERN SYSTEM WILL PUSH A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTH
FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDWEST...INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND THE
OZARKS REGION ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS
BOUNDARY IN CONJUNCTION WITH PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
RESULT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY DURING THE
LONG TERM PERIOD...THOUGH LESSER CHANCES WILL BE SEEN ON MONDAY AS
THE FRONT AND WEAKER SUNDAY IMPULSE BEGIN TO WORK EAST OF THE AREA.

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...51 / LONG TERM...64











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