Area Forecast Discussion
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FXPQ60 PGUM 212030
AFDPQ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tiyan GU
630 AM ChST Thu Feb 22 2018

.Marianas Synopsis...
Mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers and moderate to fresh
trade winds prevail across the Marianas this morning. Latest buoy
readings show combined seas between 6 and 8 feet.

&&

.Discussion...
No changes made to the inherited forecast. Invest area 95W is
passing to the south of Guam over eastern Yap state. As this
system slowly drifts westward over the next few days, it will
bring mostly cloudy skies and a few showers to the Marianas
through tonight. Otherwise, a fairly dry weather pattern will
continue through the weekend and into next week.

&&

.Marine...
Latest buoy readings show seas between 6 and 8 feet. Due to a
decreasing north swell, surf has fallen below hazardous levels on
north facing reefs. The risk of rip currents has also decreased to
moderate as well.

&&

.Eastern Micronesia and Chuuk...
A surge of dry trade winds is converging along the eastern edge of
a tropical disturbance centered southeast of Yap. Showers and
thunderstorms remain near Chuuk, Pohnpei and Kosrae. IR satellite
shows drier weather near and just north of Pohnpei and Kosrae.
Showers and thunderstorms will remain over Chuuk through this
evening. Expect fresh trades and generally dry conditions across
the region the next few days. A weak trade wind disturbance
northeast of Majuro could bring some clouds and showers tonight.

&&

.Western Micronesia...
A tropical disturbance is centered southeast of Yap near 5N144E.
This will continue generally westward today with showers and
thunderstorms expected at Yap today and arriving to Koror by
tonight. Winds and seas could become hazardous for small craft
today and tonight at both locations through Friday evening as the
disturbance passes. Moderate trades and drier weather will build
in from the east by Sunday.

&&

.GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GU...None.
Marianas Waters...None.
&&

$$

Kleeschulte/M. Aydlett



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