Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 300811

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
311 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 227 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2017

The low pressure center that brought scattered storms to the area
last night will make its way slowly across the Ozarks region
during the day today. As the low tracks over the area, scattered
showers are expected to occur through the morning and into this
afternoon. Through the morning hours. a few rumbles of thunders
may occur across the eastern Ozarks but should be the exception.

The low will keep the region under cloudy skies and have knocked
high temperatures for today down as a result of the combination
of precipitation and cloud cover. This should result in highs in
the middle 50s during the afternoon.

The low will track east of the area tonight bringing the rain
chances to an end for a few days. Temperatures will fall into the
lower 40s as skies slowly clear. Will need to watch for the
possibility of some fog with the wet ground and clearing

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 227 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2017

Ridging will be ongoing Friday morning through Saturday allowing
the region so see a return of sunshine and temperatures climbing
through the 50s and 60s on Friday and into the 70s on Saturday.
This will occur as winds shift out of the south.

The ridge will begin to move east late Saturday night as an upper
level trough digs into Texas and allows moisture to return along
with breezy winds. This will bring showers to the area for Sunday
into Monday. Models do bring some instability into the region
which would make isolated to scattered thunderstorms a

A brief break in the rain comes Tuesday before the next system
moves across the plains and into the Ozarks region Tuesday evening
into Wednesday and finally moves east of the area Wednesday night.

The long range models differ on the pattern for the end of next
week but in general the pattern looks slightly dryer for now.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1201 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2017

Surface low pressure was located over eastern Kansas with a warm
front extending through central Missouri and a cold front pushing
through southwest Missouri. Winds have become more southwesterly
at both KJLN and KSGF and will swing around to a more southwesterly
direction at KBBG in the next few hours. Mainly VFR flight
conditions expected through the overnight hours with some showers
and possibly thunderstorms again on Thursday. A lower cloud deck
now over central Kansas will move into the area after 12Z Thursday
with MVFR ceilings and perhaps some IFR possible.




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