Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 240838

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
238 AM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and this evening)
Issued at 238 AM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

Surface low pressure is building across the central Plains early
this morning. The low will spread east today. Ahead of the low
across southeastern Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks, southerly
winds will occur ushering warm temperatures as highs warm into the
60s. The pressure gradient will tighten across the area allowing
breezy and gusty winds. Gusts up to 40 mph will be possible at
times this afternoon west of Highway 65.

These gusty winds combined with warm and dry conditions will
created an elevated fire weather risk, especially across grasslands
this afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Tonight through Monday)
Issued at 238 AM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

The surface low and associated cold front will push across the
area tonight into Wednesday morning. Winds will shift from the
south to the west on Wednesday then northwest by Wednesday night
behind the front. Cooler conditions will spread into the area
bringing temperatures closer to seasonal norms with highs in the
upper 30s to the lower 40s and lows in the 20s.

An upper level trough will extend out of the Great Lakes into the
south Plains behind the front from mid week into the weekend. This
will help keep the seasonable temperatures occurring through this

An upper level disturbance will spread across the region late this
weekend. Moisture will be limited and only light precipitation if
any will be possible.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1128 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

VFR conditions are expected through the period, however strong
gusty winds are expected to develop by mid to late morning as the
pressure gradient strengthens over the plains, especially over the
western half of the CWA.




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