Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42
000
FXUS62 KTAE 310004
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
804 PM EDT MON MAY 30 2016

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

The sea breeze aided by outflow boundaries from scattered
convection this afternoon has pushed into our southern tier
Georgia zones this evening. With the loss of daytime heating this
activity is rapidly diminishing. Overnight POPs will be near
zero. Lows will be near 70 for most locations.

&&

.AVIATION [Through 00Z Wednesday]...

VFR conditions will prevail throughout the TAF cycle. Winds will
be light except for possible gusts near thunderstorms early this
evening and again tomorrow afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [247 PM EDT]...

.SHORT TERM [Tuesday Through Wednesday Night]...

After an extended period of dry weather, we are transitioning into
a more typical summertime weather pattern with the sea breeze
and follow-on outflow boundary interactions providing the trigger
for daily afternoon thunderstorms. PoPs generally reflect a blend
of CAM and statistical guidance and will be around 30% across most
of the forecast area over the next couple of days. An isolated
strong to severe pulse storm cannot be ruled out on Tuesday.
Temperatures will be above normal with daytime highs in the lower
to mid 90s and overnight lows around 70.


.LONG TERM [Thursday Through Monday]...

There are no synoptic-scale influences of note over the next 5
days or so with the mesoscale boundaries driving daily convection.
PoPs will generally be 20-30% through Saturday. Later in the
weekend, a front will approach from the northwest increasing PoPs
for the Sunday/Monday time frame. This will also temper max temps
a bit with most areas peaking in the upper 80s on these two days.
Until then, look for more low to mid 90s for highs and lower 70s
for lows.


.MARINE...

Surface high pressure will be south of the waters for much of this
period with generally light winds and low seas. Wind speeds will
be enhanced each day in the afternoon and early evening sea breeze.


.FIRE WEATHER...

There are no fire weather concerns.


.HYDROLOGY...

There are no flooding concerns.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   70  94  71  93  70 /  20  30  10  30  10
Panama City   74  85  75  84  73 /  10  20  10  10  10
Dothan        70  93  70  93  70 /  10  20  10  30  20
Albany        69  94  71  93  71 /  10  20  10  30  30
Valdosta      68  93  70  92  69 /  10  30  20  30  30
Cross City    69  91  70  91  70 /  20  30  10  20  10
Apalachicola  72  85  74  85  72 /  10  20  10  10  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Barry
SHORT TERM...Wool
LONG TERM...Wool
AVIATION...Barry
MARINE...Wool
FIRE WEATHER...Barry
HYDROLOGY...Wool



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.