Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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FXUS65 KTWC 290935
AFDTWC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
235 AM MST FRI AUG 29 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A DRY NORTHWEST TO WEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE LABOR DAY HOLIDAY WEEKEND WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES NEAR
OR ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH LABOR DAY. EARLY NEXT WEEK MOISTURE WILL
BEGIN TO SLOWLY INCREASE WITH A THREAT OF SHOWERS RETURNING TO
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE LABOR DAY HOLIDAY WEEKEND
WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER STORY...ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
HIGH TEMPERATURES.

UPPER HIGH STARTS TO SHIFT EAST INTO TEXAS ON TUESDAY AND REMAINS IN
THAT AREA THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW A RETURN TO
SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WHICH WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE MOISTURE ACROSS
THE AREA. A FEW STORMS POSSIBLE NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER ON
TUESDAY...A LITTLE MORE COVERAGE IN THIS AREA ON WEDNESDAY...THEN
THE DOOR OPENS UP FOR DEEPER MOISTURE TO ADVECT NORTH ACROSS THE
STATE.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID THRU 30/12Z.
EXPECT A FEW TO SCATTERED CUMULUS CLOUDS WITH BASES AROUND 8-12K FT
AGL LATE THIS MORNING INTO THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE...CLEAR SKIES
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE MAINLY
LESS THAN 10 KTS THRU THIS EVENING...EXCEPT FOR OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO
AROUND 20 KTS THIS AFTERNOON. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL
BORDER SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST OF TUCSON TUESDAY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN PREVAIL EAST
AND SOUTH OF TUCSON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. EXPECT LIGHT TERRAIN
DRIVEN WINDS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. GUSTY OUTFLOWS ASSOCIATED WITH
THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN OCCUR DURING THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

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