Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS22 KWNS 271623
FWDDY2

DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1123 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA...

DEEP LAYER EAST/NORTHEASTERLY FLOW AND A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER
WILL LEAD TO DRYING DURING THE AFTERNOON. RH VALUES AS LOW AS 30
PERCENT WILL BE POSSIBLE ON A SPOTTY BASIS...WITH VALUES FROM 35-45
PERCENT MORE WIDESPREAD. WIND SPEEDS GENERALLY ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15-20 MPH...BUT WEAK
LOW TO MID LEVEL WINDS SHOULD LIMIT GUST POTENTIAL. WHILE THERE ARE
AREAS OF FAVORABLE FUELS...AS EVIDENT BY ONGOING FIRES NEAR THE I-75
CORRIDOR...THERE CONTINUES TO BE A WIDE RANGE OF KBDI VALUES ACROSS
SMALL AREAS. THE SAME IS TRUE FOR RAINFALL DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL.
THIS...IN CONJUNCTION WITH LIVE AND DEAD FUEL MOISTURE DATA AND
OBSERVED FIRE DANGER CLASS...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE ONLY
EXPECTED ON A LOCALIZED BASIS. AS SUCH...NO AREA WILL BE HIGHLIGHTED
AT THIS TIME.

..LEITMAN.. 05/27/2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0300 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2015/

...SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER SRN PORTIONS OF THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST ON D2/THU...WHILE A SEPARATE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES FROM
THE NRN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION TO THE NRN/CNTRL ROCKIES. UPPER RIDGING
WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER MUCH OF THE ERN U.S. AT THE SFC...A LOW
WILL LIKELY FORM OVER ERN CO/WRN KS BY THU AFTERNOON AHEAD OF BOTH
UPPER TROUGHS. A LEE SFC TROUGH/DRYLINE SHOULD EXTEND SWWD FROM THIS
LOW ACROSS ERN NM. BEHIND THIS SFC TROUGH/DRYLINE...LOWERED RH
VALUES SHOULD OCCUR ACROSS MUCH OF AZ AND NM THU AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...SIMILAR TO D1/WED...SFC WINDS SHOULD REMAIN TOO WEAK TO
NECESSITATE THE INCLUSION OF AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER AREA ACROSS
THIS REGION.

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...



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