Issued by NWS West Gulf RFC
AGUS74 KFWR 121709
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1025 AM CST THU DEC 12 2013
VALID DECEMBER 12 THROUGH DECEMBER 17
...SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO THE WGRFC AREA BY TOMORROW...
The WGRFC region can expect one more day of cool and dry conditions
before the next system impacts the area by this time tomorrow.
Currently, the upper level storm system can be seen on water vapor
imagery, spinning over California. A large plume of Pacific moisture
is also noted on water vapor imagery, streaming up into portions of
New Mexico and West Texas. As this system approaches from the west,
moisture will begin to increase over the western half of the
forecast area overnight and interact with some unstable air
associated with the upper level system. This interaction will allow
some showers and thunderstorms to develop over portions of New
Mexico and West Texas during the early morning hours. Thereafter
this activity is expected to spread across portions of Central and
East Texas by Friday afternoon through Friday night. By Saturday
morning, the upper level system is expected to continue moving
across the Central Plains, and allow precipitation to quickly end
from west to east.
The next chance of measurable precipitation is possible late next
week. In addition, some very cold arctic air is expected to dive
down and dominate most of the WGRFC region. This will continue to be
watched over the next several days. Elsewhere, no significant
flooding is expected.
For Today into Friday morning, no significant Mean Areal
Precipitation (MAP) amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area.
For Friday into Saturday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 0.50 inch
are forecast for portions of East Texas.
For Saturday into Sunday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.
For Sunday into Tuesday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.
The drought situation in Texas continues to improve with less than
6% of the state in extreme drought in some isolated areas. New
Mexico is improving as well with only 4% of that state in extreme
drought, however all of New Mexico still remains in some level of
All other WGRFC area rivers are below bank full. Soil parameters
for eastern and central Texas are high and with low vegetation
runoff rates are higher this time of year. However, with the
current forecast no significant flooding is expected in the next 5
...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts. This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.
For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
National Precipitation Analysis:
The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
The US Drought Assessment: