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Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center
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AGUS73 KMSR 241754
HMDMSR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1254 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013

...PRECIPITATION...

RAIN FELL ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NCRFC REGION DURING THE
PAST 24 HOURS. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WERE REPORTED IN LOWER
MICHIGAN WHERE QUARTER TO HALF INCH REPORTS WERE COMMON. LIGHTER
AMOUNTS...A FEW HUNDREDTHS TO A AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH WERE
RECEIVED IN INDIANA AND ILLINOIS.

SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE
NCRFC REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT AND BRING A QUARTER TO HALF INCH OF
RAIN TO MINNESOTA AND IOWA BY SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MEMORIAL DAY ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. DAILY TOTALS
BETWEEN A QUARTER AND THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH ARE FORECAST. THE
HEAVIEST RAIN IS EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING AS OVER AN
INCH COULD FALL EACH DAY FROM SOUTHWESTERN MINNESOTA TO CENTRAL
IOWA.

...HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL THAT OCCURRED OVER THE NCRFC AREA IN THE PAST
WEEK HAS CAUSED PARTS OF IOWA AND NORTH DAKOTA TO EXPERIENCE
MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING.

IN NORTH DAKOTA...THE SOURIS RIVER IS ABOVE MODERATE AT TOWNER AND
WESTHOPE AND WILL SOON BE ABOVE MODERATE AT BANTRY.  THE PARK
RIVER AT GRAFTON CRESTED AT 16.2 FEET YESTERDAY AND SHOULD FALL
BELOW MODERATE TOMORROW.  THE PEMBINA RIVER AT NECHE IS NOW BELOW
MAJOR AND SHOULD FALL BELOW MODERATE TOMORROW.

IN IOWA...THE CEDAR RIVER AT CEDAR FALLS CRESTED ABOVE MAJOR ON
THE 23RD AND SHOULD FALL BELOW MODERATE LATER TODAY.  CONESVILLE
ON THE CEDAR SHOULD REACH MODERATE FLOOD LEVELS ON THE 27TH.
WAPELLO ON THE IOWA SHOULD APPROACH MODERATE FLOOD LEVELS AROUND
THE 28TH.

MINOR FLOODING IS ONGOING OR SOON TO BEGIN IN
WISCONSIN...ILLINOIS...MISSOURI...MINNESOTA...IOWA...MICHIGAN...
AND NORTH DAKOTA...DUE TO HEAVY RAINS OVER THE PAST WEEK.

AT THIS TIME... THE FORECASTED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 5 DAYS IS
EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN RECESSIONS AND CAUSE SOME RISES BACK ABOVE
ACTION STAGE AND POSSIBLY BACK ABOVE MINOR.. PRIMARILY IN
SOUTHWESTERN MINNESOTA AND WESTERN IOWA.

FOR ADDITIONAL AND MORE IN-DEPTH INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER
FORECASTS...PRECIPITATION AND ALL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION
IN THE NCRFC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...PLEASE REFER TO THE NCRFC
WEB PAGE AT:     HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC

EMERGENCY CALL BACK LIST: WES ... RJW ... JCH ... DCG

IF NO RESPONSE FROM THIS LIST... CALL THE DOH...SCH OR HIC.


$$

...RJW/WES...
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
