Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS01 KWNS 262000
SWODY1
SPC AC 261957

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0157 PM CST THU FEB 26 2015

VALID 262000Z - 271200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.

THE ONLY CHANGE TO THE OUTLOOK IS TO MOVE THE THUNDER LINE ACROSS
SCNTRL FL A BIT FURTHER SOUTH TO ALIGN WITH THE POSITION OF THE COLD
FRONT ALONG WHICH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON.
OTHERWISE...NO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE REMAINDER OF THE CONUS.

..BROYLES.. 02/26/2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1023 AM CST THU FEB 26 2015/

...SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...
16Z SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACED REMNANT OUTFLOW FROM DECAYED EARLY
MORNING CONVECTION NEAR FORT MYERS TO VERO BEACH. FILTERED
INSOLATION TO THE SOUTH WILL SUPPORT GRADUAL DESTABILIZATION WITHIN
A WEAKLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS. MODEST LIFT BETWEEN THE OUTFLOW AND
UPSTREAM COLD FRONT COULD YIELD A FEW STORMS THIS AFTERNOON...A
SCENARIO BROADLY SUPPORTED BY MORNING CONVECTION-ALLOWING GUIDANCE.
WITH NEUTRAL MID-LEVEL HEIGHT CHANGE AND WEAKENING KINEMATIC
FIELDS...PROSPECTS FOR SUSTAINING ORGANIZED STORMS APPEAR LOW.



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