Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Fairbanks, AK

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FXAK69 PAFG 041421
AFDAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
621 AM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
THINGS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP PRETTY MUCH AS EARLIER ADVERTISED. THE
OLD CENTER ALOFT IS NOW NEAR EMMONAK. IT WILL CONTINUE SOUTHWEST
TO BE NEAR SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AT 4PM THIS AFTERNOON. IT WILL
GRADUALLY DEEPEN AND EVENTUALLY MERGE OVER THE SOUTHERN BERING
SEA WITH THE CENTER THAT IS PRESENTLY SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN
BETWEEN ADAK AND SHEMYA...BUT THAT`S NOT UNTIL MONDAY.
MEANWHILE...THE RIDGE ALOFT IS BUILDING OVER MOST OF MAINLAND
ALASKA. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL BE CONSIDERABLY WARMER IN MOST
OF OUR ZONES THAN THEY HAVE BEEN RECENTLY AND DRY...MOST NOTABLYWARM
ON MONDAY. COOLER AGAIN THEREAFTER AS SHORT WAVES ASSOCIATED WITH
THE BERING SEA CIRCULATION BEGIN MOVING OVER THE INTERIOR AND
ARCTIC ZONES.

COASTAL ZONES FROM 211 SOUTH WILL BEGIN FEELING THOSE SHORT WAVES
A LOT SOONER...TONIGHT IN FACT. WARMER...BUT BY NO MEANS DRY.

THE SHORT WAVE PRESENTLY OVER ZONES 203-204-206 HAS MOVED MORE
SLOWLY THAN EARLIER EXPECTED. IT APPEARS TO BE PICKING UP SPEED
NOW...AND WILL LIKELY HAVE CLEARED THE COAST BY NOON...THOUGH IT
WILL STILL BE A FACTOR OVER ZONE 206 THIS AFTERNOON.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
THERMAL TROUGH DEVELOPING OVER INTERIOR ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON...
PROBABLY ROUGHLY ALONG A LINE FROM GALENA TO DELTA.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
NO ISSUES


&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY FOR AKZ221.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.
&&

$$

DJH JUL 15



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