Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Fairbanks, AK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
000
FXAK69 PAFG 242253
AFDAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
153 PM AKST SAT JAN 24 2015

.DISCUSSION...

MODELS IS GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM AND IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THOUGH THE MIDTERM AS WELL. PREFERRED A BLEND OF THE
12Z NAM12 AND 12Z GFS BASED ON VERIFICATION ON THE 18Z ANALYSIS.
BOTH THE NAM AND THE GFS PLACED THE CLEARING LINE JUST EAST OF
FAIRBANKS THIS MORNING AS COMPARED TO WEST OF NENANA AS DEPICTED
ON THE 12Z ECMWF.

CENTRAL INTERIOR...CLEARING LINE IS LOCATED JUST EAST OF
FAIRBANKS ATTM WITH SNOW TAPERING OFF WEST OF DELTA JUNCTION.
LIGHT SNOW CONTINUES TO THE EAST OF DELTA JUNCTION. MOSTLY CLEAR
AND COLD TO THE WEST OF FAIRBANKS WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S
BELOW. EXPECT THE CLEARING LINE TO RETREAT TO THE WEST TO NEAR
NENANA AGAIN THIS EVENING AS A THIRD WAVE OF MOISTURE MOVES TO THE
WEST AROUND A LOW CURRENTLY OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND MOVES
NORTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR TONIGHT. ONGOING SNOW WILL
DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE EASTERN INTERIOR BUT IS EXPECTED
TO PICK UP AGAIN THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH NOON SUNDAY.
EXTENDED THE ONGOING WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE EASTERN ALASKA
RANGE AND THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES FOR ZONES 223 AND 224. AN
ADDITIONAL 6 TO 8 INCHES IS POSSIBLE IN THE EASTERN ALASKA RANGE
WHILE AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH NOON SUNDAY
IN ZONES 223 AND 224. EXPECTING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW EAST OF
FAIRBANKS BEGINNING THIS EVENING THROUGH NOON SUNDAY BUT ONLY
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TO THE WEST OF FAIRBANKS. AS THE SNOW MOVES
NORTHEAST OUT OF THE AREA TOMORROW AFTERNOON...CLEARINGS SKIES
WILL ALLOW THE TEMPERATURES TO PLUMMET IN FAIRBANKS SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY MORNING WITH 40 BELOW TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE. ANOTHER 40
BELOW OR COLDER MORNING POSSIBLE TUESDAY MORNING AND THEN A SLOW
WARM UP AS THE COLDEST PORTION OF THE AIRMASS LIFTS TO NORTHEAST.

WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR...MOSTLY CLEAR AND COLD WITH MANY
INLAND LOCATIONS DIPPING INTO THE 40S BELOW. JUST ENOUGH GRADIENT
ALONG THE COAST AND SEWARD PENINSULA TO WARRANT WIND CHILL
ADVISORIES. EXPECT COMBINATION OF WINDS AND COLD TO CONTINUE
WINDCHILL VALUES IN THE 40 TO 50 BELOW RANGE THROUGH NOON SUNDAY.

ON THE NORTH SLOPE WIND AND COLD IS COMBINING FOR WIND CHILL
VALUES IN THE 50 TO 60 BELOW RANGE. THE GRADIENT OVER THE EASTERN
NORTH SLOPE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SOME AS A WEAK LOW JUST NORTH OF
POINT THOMPSON CONTINUE TO EXIT TO THE NORTHEAST...HOWEVER WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST ABOVE 15 MPH AND AS TEMPERATURES DROP
SOME TONIGHT LOCATIONS TO THE EAST OF DEADHORSE WILL FLIRT WITH
WARNING LEVEL WIND CHILLS...CONTINUE TO MONITOR.


&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ201-AKZ202-AKZ203-AKZ204-AKZ205-
AKZ206-AKZ207-AKZ210-AKZ213.

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ226.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ223-AKZ224.
&&

$$

CCC JAN 15


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.