National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 302039
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
339 PM CDT FRI SEP 30 2016

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Saturday Night)...

Concur with deterministic output that the upper ridge will remain
quasi-stationary over the Region. NAM deterministic gradually
increases moisture Saturday/Saturday Night yet maintains PWAT
values generally below normal. Thus...no precipitation expected
during the period. Expect cool temperatures again Tonight/early
Saturday owing to dry atmospheric column/light wind. Owing in part
to increasing high clouds expected Saturday/Saturday Night
(GFS 315-320K level mixing ratios/likely advection of high clouds
from the west)...maximum temperatures Saturday only slightly
warmer.

&&

.LONG TERM (Sunday through Friday)...

Modest low level moisture return on Sunday should result in
noticeably more cloudiness across the Coastal Plains Sunday and
possibly Monday. Sufficient sfc to H85 moisture depth may exist for
an isolated nocturnal shower across the Western Gulf waters late
Sunday night and again Monday night. Farther inland...however...dry
air aloft should negate any precip development. Increase in H85
temps will translate to warmer max temps through mid week along with
more humid feeling conditions. Strong mid/upper level trough is prog
to move east across the central CONUS the second half of the week
and aid in sending a cold front towards South Texas. Significant
discrepancies exist regarding timing and strength of trough /and
partially contingent upon interaction with Major Hurricane
Matthew...currently north of the Colombian Coast/. For now...will
lean forecast towards a fropa late next week and will keep precip
dry as chances are already minimal with questionable moisture
availability and timing.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    65  86  69  89  71  /   0   0  10  10  10
Victoria          58  84  65  87  65  /   0   0  10  10  10
Laredo            64  87  67  88  69  /   0   0  10  10   0
Alice             61  87  66  89  68  /   0   0  10   0   0
Rockport          68  84  72  87  72  /   0   0  10  10  10
Cotulla           61  86  63  89  68  /   0   0  10   0   0
Kingsville        62  88  67  89  68  /   0   0  10  10  10
Navy Corpus       70  84  74  85  74  /   0   0  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

WC/87...SHORT TERM
RH/79...LONG TERM

National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office