Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 310918 CCA
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
418 AM CDT SUN JUL 31 2016

.SHORT TERM (Today through Tonight)...

A few showers occurring over marine waters this morning, but
expect shower activity through the day to be limited to mainly the
northern coastal bend with just 10 to 20 PoP. Much drier air works
its way in this afternoon and shut off any precip chances. High
pressure building overhead will keep remainder of short term
period hot and dry. Expect temperatures today a couple degrees
warmer in the west, and similar to yesterday east. In general
lower 90s east to just above 100 degrees west. Will see a decrease
in cloud cover from the past several days as well. Expect a light
southeasterly flow in the morning to increase in the afternoon
with the onset of the sea breeze.

&&

.LONG TERM (Monday through Saturday)...

The first part of the extended forecast will feature strong upper
level ridging over the area. As a result, hot and dry conditions
will continue across South Texas. High temps will be between 100 and
105 degrees over the Brush Country and Rio Grande Plains with mid
and upper 90s across the Victoria Crossroads Tuesday and Wednesday.
By Thursday, moisture increases enough to warrant slight chance pops
across the Gulf Waters, Coastal Bend, and Victoria Crossroads.
Attention will then turn to the tropical disturbance (currently just
east of the Lesser Antilles) that will be approaching the Yucatan.
The GFS and European are not in the best agreement with evolution of
this system. The GFS remains stronger and brings the storm further
north into the Bay of Campeche and then moving inland over northeast
Mexico. The ECMWF maintains a weaker solution and further south.
Regardless, the NHC has given this system a high chance of tropical
development over the next 5 days. We will continue to monitor this
system over the coming days. Deeper moisture associated with system
will approach the area Friday into Saturday, and will show an uptick
in rain chances. In addition, increased swells and wave heights may
arrive over the Gulf Waters by next weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    96  79  96  78  96  /  10  10  10  10  10
Victoria          96  76  97  77  97  /  10  10  10  10  10
Laredo           103  78 104  78 103  /  10   0   0   0   0
Alice            101  75 101  76 101  /  10   0  10   0  10
Rockport          93  81  93  81  93  /  10  10  10  10  10
Cotulla          101  75 102  76 102  /  10   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        98  77  98  77  98  /  10   0  10   0  10
Navy Corpus       94  81  93  82  91  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

PZ/83...SHORT TERM
TB/78...LONG TERM



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