Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS62 KFFC 021906
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
306 PM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015



.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
RELATIVELY QUIET FORECAST PERIOD AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE
AREA AND NW TO WEST FLOW ALOFT DOMINATE THE NORTHWEST MAJORITY OF
THE CWA WITH ABNORMALLY DRY THERMAL PROFILES AND MOSTLY CAPPED
CONVECTIVE ENVIRONMENT. THE FAR SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE AREA LOOKS
TO BE INFLUENCED BY THE EVOLUTION OF A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
SLOWLY TRACKING NEWD FROM THE FL PANHANDLE THIS EVENING TO OFF THE
FAR SE GA COAST BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION OFF THE SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC. WHILE THIS HAS
ALLOWED FOR SCATTERED SHOWER DEVELOPMENT AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL IN THE SOUTHEAST CWA TODAY...CHANCES LOOK TO BE A BIT MORE
CONFINED TO THE FAR SOUTHEAST MONDAY WITH SOME ENHANCED CLOUD
COVERAGE.

GENERAL BLEND OF GUIDANCE FOR TEMPS HAS VERIFIED WELL RECENTLY ASIDE
FROM SOME UNDERESTIMATED SOLAR SHELTERING FROM THE AFOREMENTIONED
SOUTHEAST MOISTURE. MONDAY HIGHS SHOULD REBOUND BACK TO THE MID 90S
FOR MANY AREAS THOUGH COULD BE LIMITED IN THE SOUTHEAST.

BAKER


.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH MID TO LATE WEEK. AN
UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL DIG SOUTH ON THURSDAY...CARVING OUT A LONGWAVE
TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN US. THE CWFA IS WILL REMAIN IN NW FLOW
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE UPPER HIGH WILL BEGIN TO BUILD BACK
EASTWARD BY THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

MOISTURE WILL INCREASE BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE CWFA
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...BRINGING THE BEST RAINFALL CHANCES IN A
WHILE.

NLISTEMAA


&&


.AVIATION...

18Z UPDATE...
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR MOST SITES THRU PERIOD.
LINGERING STRATOCU IN SOUTHEAST NEAR KMCN OTHERWISE CAN EXPECT FEW
TO SCT IN 4-5 KFT THIS AFTERNOON. CANNOT RULE OUT ISOLATED
-SHRA/-TSRA IN SOUTHERN SITES BUT CHANCE TOO LOW TO INCLUDE. MOSTLY
CLEAR OR FEW CIRRUS OVERNIGHT AND ONLY FEW CU 4-5 KFT MONDAY
AFTERNOON. WINDS GENERALLY STAYING EAST TO NE THRU AFTERNOON WITH
CALM TO LIGHT NNE OVERNIGHT AND SWING NW BY 14Z /POSSIBLY EARLIER
FOR KATL/ MONDAY. KMCN HAS BEST CHANCE OF SITES TO HAVE ANY EARLY
MORNING REDUCTIONS IN VSBY/CIGS SO HAVE INCLUDED MVFR VSBY THOUGH
NOT CONFIDENT.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON TIMING OF WIND SHIFT TO NW FOR NEAR KATL.
MEDIUM TO LOW ON MORNING CIGS/VSBYS FOR KMCN.
HIGH ON ALL ELSE.

BAKER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          69  95  70  98 /   5   5   5   5
ATLANTA         72  95  74  95 /   5   5   5   5
BLAIRSVILLE     59  90  62  90 /   5   5   5   5
CARTERSVILLE    65  95  67  96 /   5   5   0   5
COLUMBUS        73  98  73  98 /  10  10   5   5
GAINESVILLE     69  94  71  94 /   5   5   5   5
MACON           70  97  69 100 /  10  10   5   5
ROME            63  96  66  96 /   0   5   5   5
PEACHTREE CITY  66  94  66  96 /   5   5   5   5
VIDALIA         73  93  73  98 /  20  20  20  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BAKER
LONG TERM....NLISTEMAA
AVIATION...BAKER



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.